Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Adrian Mannarino is yet to win a clay court match this year. He will hope to make it fourth time lucky when taking on Ignacio Buse in round one of the Mutua Madrid Open. Find out more in our match prediction below.
For the winner, there's a second round match against the 21st seed and Barcelona Open champion Arthur Fils.
All three of Mannarino's clay court matches played this year have been lost with just one set won. It's not a short term problem on this surface as he only won five of his 14 clay court matches last year, losing the last seven.
It's also seven years since he won a match in this tournament, losing his last six matches.
He is also needing a win this week after losing his last three clay court matches. He's making his debut in Madrid.
Overall this year, Buse has a 5-6 record on this surface. His best run by far has been reaching the semi-finals in Marrakech. Last year he played 61 clay court matches and won 42 of them. Two Challenger Tour titles were won and he got to the last four in the Gstaad ATP Tour event.
We tip Buse to win in straight sets.
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Ignacio Buse v Adrian Mannarino Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.15 | 5.35 |
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1.14 | 5.7 |
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1.13 | 6 |
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1.13 | 5.2 |
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1.13 | 5.2 |
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Who will win the Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino match is: Ignacio Buse wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino game on 22/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Ignacio Buse has a 71.22% chance to win against Adrian Mannarino according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.16.
- Adrian Mannarino has a 28.78% probability of winning facing Ignacio Buse ⭐ with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ignacio Buse has a 71.22 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | 71.22 % |
| Adrian Mannarino | 28.78 % |
Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino Form
Ignacio Buse and Adrian Mannarino Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
4 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
17 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
3 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
4 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Ignacio Buse - Adrian Mannarino Key Points
- Buse has reached one ATP Tour clay court semi-final this year.
- Last year saw Buse win a couple of Challenger Tour clay court tournaments and a semi-final on the main circuit.
- Mannarino has lost his last ten clay court matches.
- Mannarino has lost his last six matches in this tournament, last getting a win in 2019.
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Our Ignacio Buse vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction
It's been a strange year for Adrian Mannarino. Only once has he made it past round two of a tournament and that saw him get to tthe final in Montpellier. That was an indoor hard court tournament and he'd love to get anywhere near that on clay.
His last ten matches on this surface have all been lost. Ignacio Buse has also blown hot and cold with one semi-final on clay in Rio. He won 42 matches on clay last year. Our Ignacio Buse v Adrian Mannarino prediction is Ignacio Buse wins in straight sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.