Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Hangzhou Open
ATP - ATP Hangzhou Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Unseeded Hugo Gaston is having his best run of the year in ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournaments. He takes on second seed Andrey Rublev in the quarter-finals of this ATP 250 event. Rublev is over 70 places above his French opponent and our prediction is he will win in straight sets.
In the last four, the winner here will face either sixth seed Fabian Marozsan or unseeded Kyrian Jacquet.
Andrey Rublev is the world number 25, that's compared to the current 97th of Gaston. The Russian beat unseeded Rinky Hijikata in his opening match in this tournament, doing so 6-3 6-3. 2026 has seen him reach three ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-finals, never losing in the last eight.
There's been one previous meeting between these players. That was on this surface in 2025 and Rublev won for the loss of only five games.
Hugo Gaston hadn't recorded an ATP Tour main draw win since July 2025 before this week. He had only twice made it past the first round on the ATP Tour in 2026 and they were both on his favored clay on which he has won a Challenger Tour title this year.
This tournament has produced wins over Sho Shimabukuro and seventh seed Jaime Faria after losing the opening set.
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Hugo Gaston v Andrey Rublev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.85 | 1.23 |
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4.04 | 1.24 |
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4.04 | 1.24 |
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4.04 | 1.24 |
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|
4 | 1.25 |
|
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Who will win the Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev match is: Andrey Rublev wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev game on 27/09/2026 of the current ATP Hangzhou Open season:
- Hugo Gaston has a 30.8% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 4.25.
- Andrey Rublev has a 67% probability of winning facing Hugo Gaston ⭐ with odds of 1.26 at Shangrila.
Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Hugo Gaston has a 30.8 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | 30.8 % |
| Andrey Rublev | 67 % |
Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Form
Hugo Gaston and Andrey Rublev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
25 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Sept 2026 - ATP Hangzhou Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
Hugo Gaston - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Rublev is attempting to reach his fourth ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-final of the year.
- Rublev was 72 places above his opponent in the last rankings.
- Rublev only lost five games against Gaston in the one previous match played between these players, that was on this surface.
- This is the first time in 2026 that Gaston has made it past round one of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament.
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Our Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
This has been the best run that Hugo Gaston has had in an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament this year. He had to go to three sets to get past Jaime Faria in round two. This is going to be considerably tougher and he only took five games off Rublev in their one match.
Rublev has won 13 of his 22 outdoor hard court matches this year. This is his fourth quarter-final of the year. His one match so far in Hangzhou was won 6-3 6-3. Our Hugo Gaston v Andrey Rublev prediction is Andrey Rublev wins in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Hugo Gaston vs. Andrey Rublev game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Hugo Gaston or Andrey Rublev, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
