Guinea vs Ethiopia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Guinea and Ethiopia will be eyeing returns to winning ways when they face off in Group H of the 2025 AFCON qualifiers. Syli National will not have the full complement of home fans as they host Walyas in Cote d’Ivoire on Friday. Follow on for our prediction of the match.
Guinea were among the favorites in this group but find themselves bottom after two rounds. This is a chance for them to bag their first win, and points, of the qualifiers.
A late collapse was to blame for their 2-1 loss to Tanzania last time out. That was their third straight defeat, and for obvious reasons, they’ve found it hard playing home matches away from home.
In their last three matches Guinea scored just a goal, while conceding four times.
Ethiopia have also had to play home matches in distant venues and this will not be a new experience. The last time out they lost 2-0 to Congo DR in what was supposed to be a home game but was played in Tanzania.
The Walyas actually did well in the game, holding on for an hour until they were disarmed in the second half. It was the fourth straight match that they failed to post a win.
Ethiopia have also gone without a goal in three of their last four matches. They actually scored just once in the four matches in perspective and should be worried at having just one win in nine outings.
The one-time African champions have no win in six AFCON qualification games.
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Guinea v Ethiopia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.4 | 6 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.45 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.1 | 8.15 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.56 | 5.98 |
|
|
1.43 | 3.95 | 8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea and Ethiopia?
Our prediction for the Guinea vs Ethiopia match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Guinea and Ethiopia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.74% for a win of Guinea against Ethiopia with odds of 1.75 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea vs Ethiopia is 20.03% with odds of 4.1 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Guinea with odds of 8.75 at Betobet.
Guinea - Ethiopia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Guinea Ethiopia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Guinea wins | 57.74% | 1.75 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.44% | 1.98 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.5% | 1.53 at LSbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Guinea | 34.99% | 4.2 at LSbet |
Guinea vs Ethiopia Form
Guinea and Ethiopia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +4 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 |
Guinea and Ethiopia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
28 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
4 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
8 Sept 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
21 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
Guinea vs Ethiopia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
Missing players
M. Diakhaby
Guinea - Ethiopia Key Points
- In three of their last four matches, Ethiopia didn’t score.
- In two of their last three matches, Guinea failed to score.
- In their last five away matches, Ethiopia managed just one goal.
- An average of 1.4 goals were scored in Ethiopia’s last five matches.
- Ethiopia failed to score in their last two away matches against Guinea.
- Guinea scored an average of 1.4 goals in the last five AFCON qualifying matches.
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Our Guinea vs Ethiopia Prediction
Ethiopia are poor on their travels and have managed just one goal in their last five away games. They aren’t great in attack generally, and their matches have mostly produced low scoring returns.
In the last two away matches against Guinea, Ethiopia failed to score. Guinea will sense the opportunity for a first win in this group, but they are also not doing well in attack. As two struggling teams face off, our prediction for Guinea v Ethiopia is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Guinea Ethiopia
| Guinea vs Ethiopia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea wins | 1.55 | 1.75 | +12.9% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 4.1 | +13.9% |
| Ethiopia wins | 7 | 8.75 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Guinea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 57.1% (-7.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
