Grimsby Town vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Carabao Cup Predictions
League Two Grimsby Town attempt to cause another Carabao Cup shock. They host Premier League Brentford in round four with the winners going into the quarter-finals. Time for our match prediction.
A win for Grimsby will take them into the last eight for the fourth time and the first since the 1984-85 season. They famously beat Manchester United on penalties in round two and then won away at Championship side Sheffield Wednesday.
Grimsby are sixth in League Two, only two points behind the leaders. Two of their last three games have ended in defeat, most recently at 3-2 loss at Crewe after taking an early lead. Home form has seen them win four of their seven league games with both teams scoring in two of the last three.
Brentford had a big win on Saturday night with a 3-2 home league victory over Liverpool. They have won three of their last four league games and are in the table after the weekend's fixtures.
The Bees are bidding to reach the Carabao Cup quarter-finals for the second successive season. Their best run was a semi-final in 2020-21 when still a Championship side. To reach this stage they have beaten Bournemouth and Aston Villa.
We tip Brentford to win and lead at half and full time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Grimsby Town v Brentford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.5 | 5.25 | 1.3 |
|
|
9 | 5 | 1.33 |
|
|
7 | 4.6 | 1.36 |
|
|
6.75 | 5.1 | 1.38 |
|
|
8.5 | 5 | 1.33 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Grimsby Town and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Grimsby Town vs Brentford match is: Brentford wins and lead at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2025 between Grimsby Town and Brentford in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.16% for a win of Grimsby Town against Brentford with odds of 9 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Grimsby Town vs Brentford is 9.65% with odds of 5.3 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Grimsby Town with odds of 1.42 at Shangrila.
Grimsby Town - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Grimsby Town Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 56.19% | 1.42 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.68% | 1.65 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Brentford/Brentford | 28.17% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
Grimsby Town vs Brentford Form
Grimsby Town and Brentford Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League Two
18 Oct 2025 - League Two
11 Oct 2025 - League Two
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League Two
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - League Two
11 Oct 2025 - League Two
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
13 Sept 2025 - League Two
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League Two
4 Oct 2025 - League Two
20 Sept 2025 - League Two
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Sept 2025 - League Two
2 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Players list
C. Pym
DefenderT. Warren
C. McJannett
S. Lavelle
J. Sweeney
MidfielderG. Turi
Jason Svanthorsson
E. Khouri
J. Walker
ForwardD. Rose
J. Kabia
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderM. Kayode
R. Henry
E. Pinnock
N. Collins
MidfielderM. Jensen
V. Janelt
F. Carvalho
ForwardK. Schade
R. Donovan
K. Lewis-Potter
Substitutes
C. Casper
DefenderR. Staunton
T. Warren
G. Turi
Jason Svanthorsson
J. Walker
D. Rose
C. Oduor
J. Nwogu
E. Balcombe
DefenderK. Ajer
N. Collins
M. Kayode
V. Janelt
R. Donovan
M. Damsgaard
I. Thiago
K. Schade
Most goals and assists
Grimsby Town
Brentford
C. Vernam
(7 Goals)
, 
J. Kabia
(7 Goals)
I. Thiago
(12 Goals)
D. Burns
(1 Assists)
,
R. Staunton
(1 Assists)
,
C. Vernam
(1 Assists)
J. Henderson
(3 Assists)
Grimsby Town - Brentford Key Points
- Brentford have won three of their last four games.
- Brentford led at half and full time in each of those three wins.
- Grimsby have lost two of their last three matches.
- Brentford have beaten two Premier League clubs to reach this fourth round.
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Our Grimsby Town vs Brentford Prediction
Brentford will make changes for this game but are still the favorites to progress. They are in good form at present with not just two big home victories but a good win at West Ham too. Two Premier League clubs (Bournemouth and Aston Villa) have been beaten to reach the last 16.
Grimsby have already hit the headlines this season with their penalty shootout win over Manchester United. Current form isn't great but they are only just outside the automatic promotion places. Our Grimsby v Brentford prediction is Brentford wins and lead at half and full time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Grimsby Town Brentford
| Grimsby Town vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Town wins | 7.5 | 8.5 | +13.3% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5.25 | +16.7% |
| Brentford wins | 1.37 | 1.3 | -5.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.0% and is now 76.9% (3.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Grimsby Town vs. Brentford game!
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Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
