Germany vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup

World - Women's World Cup

Germany
05/09/2026 11:00
Japan

Prediction :

 

Japan +4.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Women's World Cup Predictions

It promises to be a thriller as World No. 11 Germany clash with 10th-ranked Japan in Round 2 of the 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup at Max-Schmeling-Halle, Berlin. Germany have lost each of their last five matches, including their World Cup opener, and are likely to struggle against a Japan side that is entering this contest in better form. Our prediction backs Japan to win or keep it close. 

After securing their spot in the World Cup following an impressive 4–1 run at the Lyon-Villeurbanne Qualifying Tournament, Germany have witnessed a sharp decline in form. They lost all four warm-up games ahead of the World Cup. 

Worryingly, their poor run of form continued in Friday's World Cup opener as they fell 83–53 to Spain. Can they turn things around against Japan? 

Saki Hayashi stole the show, scoring a game-high 27 points as Japan shot 57% from beyond the arc and 55% overall to edge Mali 102–97 in their World Cup opener. That result made it three wins in five outings for the six-time Asian champions. 

The Corey Gaines-led team will be out to build on that strong start. They have won one of their previous two meetings with Germany. 

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Germany v Japan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 2.6
Roobet
1.42 2.54
BC Game
1.47 2.4
Tonybet
1.42 2.8
Betsson
1.44 2.7
Check all Germany vs Japan odds

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Who will win the Germany vs Japan Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Germany vs Japan match is: Japan +4.5 handicap.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Germany vs Japan game on 05/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:

  • Germany has a 59.89% chance to pick up the win against Japan according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 1.47.
  • There is a probability of 40.11% ⭐ for Japan to win vs Germany with odds of 3 at Shangrila.

Germany vs Japan Form

Germany and Japan's standings in the Women's World Cup

Teams % P W L Series
2 Japan
2 1 1 0 1
4 Germany
1 1 0 1

Germany and Japan Last Matches

Germany
Germany Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup

Spain
83 :  53
Germany

27 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Germany
62 :  63
Turkiye

23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Germany
62 :  68
Hungary

15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Germany
60 :  65
Spain

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
65 :  56
Germany

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
85 :  60
Germany
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

27 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Germany
62 :  63
Turkiye

23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Germany
62 :  68
Hungary

15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Germany
60 :  65
Spain

14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Germany
63 :  85
France

11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Germany
76 :  49
Republic Of Korea

19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women

Germany
89 :  76
Sweden
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup

Spain
83 :  53
Germany

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
65 :  56
Germany

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Belgium
85 :  60
Germany

17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Nigeria
73 :  81
Germany

15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Colombia
57 :  78
Germany

12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Philippines
80 :  113
Germany
Japan
Japan Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup

Japan
102 :  97
Mali

14 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Japan
78 :  77
Republic Of Korea

13 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Japan
77 :  59
Republic Of Korea

17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Japan
83 :  39
Argentina

15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Canada
62 :  66
Japan

14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Japan
67 :  75
Turkiye
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup

Japan
102 :  97
Mali

14 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Japan
78 :  77
Republic Of Korea

13 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

Japan
77 :  59
Republic Of Korea

17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Japan
83 :  39
Argentina

14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Japan
67 :  75
Turkiye

11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Japan
65 :  77
Hungary
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Canada
62 :  66
Japan

12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Australia
81 :  71
Japan

19 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

China
81 :  90
Japan

14 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Philippines
82 :  85
Japan

29 Jul 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

USA
102 :  76
Japan

5 Oct 2023 - Asian Games, Women, Group X

China
74 :  72
Japan

Germany vs Japan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Germany

100 %

Japan

0 %

1 Aug 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Japan
64 :  75
Germany
Germany vs Japan Prediction

Germany - Japan Key Points

  1. Germany lost their 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup opener.
  2. Germany have lost each of their last five matches.
  3. Japan won their World Cup opener.
  4. Japan have won three of their last five matches overall.
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Our Germany vs Japan Prediction

The two teams meet off the back of contrasting results in the opening round. Germany have found results hard to come by after the qualifiers, with their poor recent run continuing in this tournament. 

Japan have been promising lately, and have got off the mark with a win in their opening game. While we still expect a tough contest with little separating these two teams in the rankings, Japan have shown enough to suggest they could stretch things here. Our Germany vs Japan prediction: Japan +4.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Japan +4.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.