Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Coming here on the back of a poor start to their respective league campaigns, Genoa and Empoli look for a lift in the 2025-26 Coppa Italia campaign. This second-round match between the Grifone and the Azzurri Empolesi at Luigi Ferraris comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals. The winner of this match will go on to face Atalanta in the round of 16.
Genoa lost in the second round last year but had reached the round of 16 in five consecutive seasons before that. Empoli lost in the semi-finals last year but had a first-round exit in two consecutive seasons before that.
A 2-1 away defeat at Bologna last weekend in Serie A continued Genoa’s poor start to the season. They are without a win in four league games (D2, L2), keeping them close to the relegation zone.
Their only competitive win this season was in the first round of the Coppa Italia, but goals have eluded them otherwise.
Empoli also lost over the weekend in a 4-1 away result at Pescara in Serie B. That made it two defeats out of their last three (D1, L2) matches, suggesting they may have lost some steam.
Even in the Coppa Italia, they needed penalties to win in the first round, where they overcame Reggiana after a 1-1 draw during regular time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Genoa v Empoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 4.33 | 10 |
|
|
1.4 | 4 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.2 | 9 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.33 | 9 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.7 | 9.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Empoli?
Our prediction for the Genoa vs Empoli match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2025 between Genoa and Empoli in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.48% for a win of Genoa against Empoli with odds of 1.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Empoli is 24.16% with odds of 4.7 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Empoli vs Genoa with odds of 10.4 at 22bet.
Genoa - Empoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genoa Empoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 50.48% | 1.5 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.13% | 2.38 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genoa | 23.34% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Genoa vs Empoli Form
Genoa and Empoli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Serie A
5 May 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie B
14 Sept 2025 - Serie B
29 Aug 2025 - Serie B
23 Aug 2025 - Serie B
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie B
23 Aug 2025 - Serie B
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie B
29 Aug 2025 - Serie B
18 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
Genoa vs Empoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3 Feb 2024 - Serie A
2 Dec 2023 - Serie A
6 Mar 2022 - Serie A
5 Nov 2021 - Serie A
Players list
N. Leali
DefenderA. Marcandalli
S. Sabelli
A. Martin
J. Vasquez
MidfielderN. Stanciu
M. Frendrup
A. Gronbaek
V. Carboni
ForwardL. Colombo
J. Messias
S. Perisan
DefenderF. Carboni
G. Guarino
T. Ebuehi
N. Obaretin
B. Moruzzi
MidfielderL. Belardinelli
E. Saporiti
G. Yepes
ForwardB. Popov
R. Ilie
Substitutes
D. Sommariva
B. Siegrist
DefenderB. Norton-Cuffy
S. Otoa
MidfielderM. Thorsby
H. Cuenca
R. Malinovskyi
P. Masini
ForwardS. Fini
J. Ekhator
C. Ekuban
M. Ellertsson
V. Carvalho
L. Venturino
M. Gasparini
F. Versari
DefenderK. Pasalic
L. Tosto
G. Lauricella
G. Indragoli
MidfielderD. Busiello
L. Ignacchiti
A. Orlandi
E. Perin
ForwardT. Campaniello
S. Shpendi
E. Zanaga
Missing players
J. Onana
N. Haas
ForwardP. Pellegri
Most goals and assists
Genoa
Empoli
L. Ostigard
(3 Goals)
S. Shpendi
(5 Goals)
, 
B. Popov
(5 Goals)
A. Martin
(2 Assists)
R. Ilie
(3 Assists)
Genoa - Empoli Key Points
- Three of Genoa’s last four matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Genoa’s last two Coppa Italia matches have aggregated just one goal.
- Empoli aggregated just two goals in their last three competitive matches.
- Four of the last five matches between Genoa and Empoli produced two or fewer goals.
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Our Genoa vs Empoli Prediction
Genoa and Empoli are at the wrong ends of their league campaigns in Serie A and Serie B, respectively. The hosts haven’t won a single match in their league campaign so far, and this Coppa Italia fixture presents a chance to regain some momentum. Empoli started the league season with a win, but two defeats in the last three matches halted their push. Looking at their run of results, a win would do a world of good for both teams.
Goals could come at a premium here, and that’s why our Genoa vs Empoli prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Empoli
| Genoa vs Empoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 1.51 | 1.33 | -11.9% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.33 | +17.0% |
| Empoli wins | 7 | 10 | +42.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genoa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.2% and is now 75.2% (9.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Genoa vs. Empoli game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Genoa and Empoli? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Coppa Italia! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
