Fulham vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in FA Cup Predictions
Sunday brings us an FA Cup fifth-round clash at Craven Cottage, where Fulham will be playing host to Southampton. The Cottagers are 10th in the Premier League, while the Saints are in seventh place in the Championship this season. Check out our match prediction below!
Fulham have never won a major trophy, but they have reached the quarter-final of this competition in two of the last four seasons. Marco Silva’s side have been the dominant force in this fixture in recent years, as they enter this match unbeaten in their last four against this opponent - albeit all of those were in the English top flight.
However, Southampton are on an upward trajectory under Tonda Eckert. The German tactician replaced Will Still when the Saints were languishing in 21st place in the Championship, but he has led them to six wins in their last eight league games, which has got them to seventh - one place below the Playoff cutoff. Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Fulham v Southampton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.57 | 4.4 | 5.2 |
|
|
|
1.58 | 4.32 | 5.35 |
|
|
|
1.58 | 4.38 | 5.25 |
|
|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 5.75 |
|
|
|
1.55 | 4.4 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fulham and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Fulham vs Southampton match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between Fulham and Southampton in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.63% for a win of Fulham against Southampton with odds of 1.59 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fulham vs Southampton is 12.94% with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Fulham with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
Fulham - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fulham Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fulham wins | 46.63% | 1.59 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.53% | 1.57 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time: Southampton / Full-time: Fulham | 18.27% | 20 at LSbet |
Fulham vs Southampton Form
Fulham and Southampton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
17 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
10 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
25 Jan 2026 - Championship
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
Fulham vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
13 May 2023 - Premier League
31 Dec 2022 - Premier League
15 May 2021 - Premier League
26 Dec 2020 - Premier League
Fulham - Southampton: Form Analysis
Fulham are set to face a Championship team for the third time in this season’s FA Cup, following victories over Middlesbrough (3-1) and Stoke City (2-1) in rounds three and four, respectively.
The Cottagers come into this fixture off the back of a 1-0 loss to West Ham in the EPL in midweek. That result ended their three-match win streak in all competitions and saw them slip a spot in the standings.
Across their last 10 home games, the hosts have recorded five wins, a draw and four defeats. However, they are unbeaten in their last three matches at this venue against this opponent (W1 D2).
Eight of Fulham’s last 10 home games have ended with both teams scoring!
Meanwhile, Southampton are aiming to reach the FA Cup quarter-final for the first time since 2021-22. They beat Doncaster Rovers 3-2 in the third round before edging Leicester 2-1 in extra time in round four.
The Saints claimed a 3-1 victory over Sheffield Wednesday in the Championship last week and are now unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions (W7 D2), dating back to mid-January.
The visitors are also unbeaten in their last five away games in all competitions (W4 D1), a massive improvement after failing to win any of their five preceding matches on the road (D1 L4).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Fulham against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Leno
DefenderA. Robinson
C. Bassey
J. King
K. Tete
MidfielderS. Berge
S. Lukic
ForwardR. Jimenez
A. Iwobi
G. Long
DefenderE. Jelert
J. Quarshie
MidfielderO. Romeu
K. Matsuki
C. Bragg
R. Stewart
C. Archer
S. Edozie
Missing players
H. Wilson
Kevin
M. Roerslev
Welington
ForwardJ. Robinson
Fulham & Southampton Squad Analysis
Brazilian attacker Kevin has directly contributed to three of Fulham’s goals in this season’s FA Cup, but he has had to undergo surgery on a foot injury this week and is likely to remain sidelined for the foreseeable future.
The Cottagers may also have to make do without their leading scorer this season, Harry Wilson, who missed the loss to the Hammers in midweek due to an ankle injury and is a major doubt for this match.
Silva will likely look to rotate his lineup after their disappointing performance in midweek, which could see the likes of Oscar Bobb, Emile Smith-Rowe, and Ryan Sessegnon brought back into the starting 11.
Leo Scienza has recorded five goal contributions in his last four starts for Southampton!
The Brazilian attacking midfielder has been the creative spark for the Saints since the start of 2026. He has eight assists and six goals since arriving at St. Mary’s, including four assists in his last four matches.
Kuryu Matsuki is another player to keep an eye on this weekend. The Japan U23 international has notched up two goals and an assist in his last two matches and scored in the victory over Doncaster in round three of this competition.
The visitors are expected to be missing at least three players for this trip to West London due to injury, including Welington, Jay Robinson and Mads Roerslev.
Fulham - Southampton Key Points
- Seven of Fulham’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Fulham have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 home matches.
- Southampton have scored two or more goals in four of their last five matches.
- Eight of Southampton’s last 10 away games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last five matches between these sides.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Fulham vs Southampton Prediction
Fulham have a good record against this opponent and are the favourites in this contest, but they have not been solid defensively of late, having failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last 13 matches across all competitions.
That stat should give Southampton plenty of optimism coming into this match, especially given their form of late, now unbeaten in nine games, while having scored eight goals in their last two alone. Our Fulham vs Southampton prediction is BTTS.
Fulham vs Southampton Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Seven of Fulham’s last eight games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while Southampton have netted two or more goals in four of their last five matches in all competitions.
Draw or Southampton
Southampton have experienced a notable improvement under Tonda Eckert of late, now unbeaten in their last nine games. They have also scored two or more goals in four of their last five away matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fulham Southampton
| Fulham vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham wins | 1.5 | 1.59 | +6.0% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.5 | +2.3% |
| Southampton wins | 5.6 | 5.75 | +2.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fulham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 62.9% (-3.8%)
Fulham vs Southampton - FAQs
The FA Cup match between Fulham and Southampton will take place on March 8 at 12:00 GMT.
The FA Cup match between Fulham and Southampton will be played at Craven Cottage in London.
The FA Cup match between Wrexham and Chelsea will be broadcast on TNT Sports 2 in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our FA Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.