1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
07/11/2026 06:30
Bayern Munich

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

An unbeaten Bayern Munich will look to maintain their position at the top of the Bundesliga table, travelling on matchday nine to Mainz, the team that handed Bayern their last league away defeat. This match at Mewa Arena on Saturday between the 9th-placed ‘05ers’ and the 1st-placed ‘Bavarians’ could provide entertainment with over 3.5 goals in in our match prediction.

Mainz have 10 points (W3, D1, L4) and are three points behind the top six ahead of this round. Bayern are one of the two unbeaten sides (W5, D3) and are ahead of Borussia Dortmund only on goal difference.

Mainz lost 4-1 at Elversberg last weekend for a fourth defeat in their last five competitive games (W1). Their league form isn’t any better, with three losses in the last four matches keeping them in the mid-table.

The ‘05ers’ have struggled to make their home advantage count, losing their last three Bundesliga fixtures at this venue.

Bayern defeated Atletico 2-0 on Tuesday in the UEFA Champions League, bouncing back from the 2-2 home draw against Dortmund in the Bundesliga last weekend. They have struggled to close out games lately, drawing four of their last eight competitive games (W4).

Even on the road, Bayern have won only three of their last six competitive trips, while the 50% win rate was repeated in their four league trips.

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1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
7.00 6.40 1.28
1xbet
7.95 6.41 1.36
Melbet
7.60 6.15 1.32
Betwinner
8.70 6.85 1.26
22bet
7.60 6.15 1.32
Check all 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich?

Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich match is: over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/11/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.46% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Bayern Munich with odds of 8.7 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich is 20.33% with odds of 6.85 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 61.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.36 at 1xbet.

1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Form

1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Bayern Munich
18 8 5 3 0 +19
9 1 Fsv Mainz 05
10 8 3 1 4 0

1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich Last Matches

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last matches
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Spvgg Elversberg
4 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

27 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bochum
2 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

24 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  3
Werder Bremen

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  4
1 Fsv Mainz 05
W W D L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  3
Werder Bremen

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayer Leverkusen

12 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

29 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Paderborn

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
4 :  0
Paris FC
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Spvgg Elversberg
4 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

27 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bochum
2 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

19 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  4
1 Fsv Mainz 05

6 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  5
1 Fsv Mainz 05

23 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

VfB 1921 Krieschow
0 :  9
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
W D W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
0 :  2
Bayern Munich

31 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

28 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Magdeburg

25 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

21 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Arsenal

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Leipzig
W W W D W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
4.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

31 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

28 Oct 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Magdeburg

21 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Arsenal

17 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Leipzig

18 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
7 :  0
Union Berlin

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Bodoe/Glimt
D W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
0 :  2
Bayern Munich

25 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

13 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Viking FK
3 :  3
Bayern Munich

10 Oct 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

13 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Spvgg Elversberg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

5 Sept 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

1 Fsv Mainz 05

17 %

Draw

17 %

Bayern Munich

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
3.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  4
Bayern Munich

14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Prediction

1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich last Lineups

1 Fsv Mainz 05

Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2

27
R. Zentner
21
D. da Costa
4
S. Posch
48
K. Potulski
19
A. Caci
6
K. Sano
2
P. Mwene
8
P. Nebel
10
N. Amiri
9
P. Tietz
23
S. Becker
9
H. Kane
19
A. Davies
17
M. Olise
42
L. Karl
8
T. Bischof
6
J. Kimmich
44
J. Stanisic
4
J. Tah
2
D. Upamecano
27
K. Laimer
1
M. Neuer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Substitutes

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Goalkeeper

A. Schwolow

Defender

F. Gruber

S. Bell

S. Widmer

Midfielder

L. Maloney

E. Martel

L. Jae-sung

Forward

B. Hollerbach

R. Konigsdorffer

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

S. Ulreich

J. Urbig

Defender

S. Boey

K. Min-jae

H. Ito

N. Brown

Midfielder

D. Daiber

A. Pavlovic

Forward

T. Binder

Missing players

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Midfielder

D. Kohr

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Midfielder

J. Musiala

I. Saibari

Forward

S. Gnabry

L. Diaz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato 1 Fsv Mainz 05
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Germany P. Tietz (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France M. Olise (6 Goals)
Best assists
Suriname S. Becker (4 Assists)
Best assists
England H. Kane (5 Assists)

1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich Stats in Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
38%
Wins
63%
50%
Losses
0%
13%
Draws
38%
4.25
Average goals per match
4.38
2.13
Goals scored per match
3.38
2.13
Goals conceded per match
1
25%
Under 2.5 goals
13%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
88%
38%
No goals conceded
25%
63%
BTTS
75%

1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Bayern average 4.38 goals and Mainz average 4.25 goals per game in this Bundesliga campaign.
  2. Eight of Bayern’s last nine competitive games produced over 3.5 goals.
  3. Six of Mainz’s last seven league fixtures saw at least four goals scored.
  4. Mainz’s last three home league games saw four or more goals scored.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Bayern are massive favourites to win here, while Mainz are tipped to score a goal. Both teams have historically produced high-scoring encounters, while Bayern’s goal rush is evident in their recent competitive games. These are also two of the highest goal-aggregate teams of the season, and that promises more entertainment.

Nine of the last 11 matches between these sides in all competitions have produced at least four goals. That could repeat here, and our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction is over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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