Tip Freiburg - Mönchengladbach
This weekend's Bundesliga action begins on Friday at the Schwarzwald-Stadion when Freiburg welcome Borussia Monchengladbach. The hosts, eighth in the table, are in with a shout for a Europa League spot, four points behind sixth-placed Wolfsburg. Gladbach, meanwhile, also have European ambitions and they are currently situated in fourth, the final Champions League spot, although they're only ahead of Bayer Leverkusen on goal difference. Having players of Champions League quality in their ranks will help the Gladbach cause and Marcus Thuram possesses such a quality. The 22-year-old joined last summer and has thus far scored ten Bundesliga goals, his last two coming in the recent 4-1 win over Union Berlin. That was a return to form for Gladbach after a two-game winless streak initiated by a 3-1 defeat to UCL rivals Leverkusen. A goalless draw followed, marking only the second time this year that they had kept a clean sheet. Although this statistic indicates that Gladbach have a leaky defence, they actually have the fourth-best defensive record in the division. Putting it simply, the Bundesliga is a league in which goals fly in.
This fixture's recent history shows that statement to be true. Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between the teams. Without a win in their last four matches, Freiburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight. While qualifying for Europe is possible, Freiburg must address their faltering form with no wins for four. Gladbach have won their last three games against Freiburg and while they didn't win on their last visit there, they are unbeaten in their last five matches on the road. The favorites for this game, most Gladbach wins this season have been high-scoring with 88% of their Bundesliga victories featuring at least three goals. Freiburg aren't an intimidating home force. Only three sides have scored fewer goals at home and they have failed to score in three of their last four home games. However, they have scored in their last seven games against Gladbach which leads us to believe that they'll find the net in this match. We suggest backing a Gladbach win and both teams to score.
Key points Freiburg - Mönchengladbach
A whopping 88% of Gladbach's Bundesliga wins have featured at least three goals.
Gladbach have won their last three meetings with Freiburg.
Gladbach are unbeaten in their last five away matches.
The last six meetings between these teams featured both teams scoring.
Freiburg have failed to score in three of their last four home games.
Conclusion Freiburg - Mönchengladbach
Freiburg are by no means a free-scoring club and it is better for them to not have a free-flowing game against talents like Thuram and Alassane Plea. That's the disclaimer that suggests they would prefer a low-scoring game. However, Gladbach are the superior side and should be able to dictate how things play out. We see both teams scoring and Gladbach winning.
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Freiburg Mönchengladbach Prediction published on June 2, 2020