Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg’s impeccable home record could hurt Bayer Leverkusen’s chances of pushing for the Bundesliga’s top four, as the teams meet on matchday 25. This match on Saturday between the eighth-placed Breisgau Brazilians and the sixth-placed ‘Factory XI’ comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 33 points (W9, D6, L9), Freiburg are 11 points above the relegation zone but are not in the race for finishing in the top six. Leverkusen currently occupy that sixth slot with 43 points (W13, D4, L7), which keeps them three points outside the top four places.
A 2-0 away loss at Eintracht Frankfurt last Sunday continued Freiburg’s see-saw record, winning and losing three matches each in their last six Bundesliga games.
As they try for a consistent run, Freiburg will present a threat at home, where they are unbeaten in their last ten Bundesliga matches (W7, D3). That includes six wins out of their last seven and four in a row.
Leverkusen edged Hamburg 1-0 on Wednesday to stay alive in the top four chase. It was their first win in four competitive games (D2, L1), but they haven’t been consistent in the league, winning only four of their last nine Bundesliga matches (D2, L3).
The visitors have been inconsistent on the road too, losing four of their last nine away league trips (W4, D1).
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Freiburg v Bayer Leverkusen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.43 |
|
|
3 | 3.38 | 2.35 |
|
|
3 | 3.38 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.4 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.94 | 3.35 | 2.36 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.32% for a win of Freiburg against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 3.12 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen is 22.55% with odds of 3.52 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg with odds of 2.46 at Tonybet.
Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 41.32% | 3.12 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 58.36% | 2.01 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 17.24% | 7.25 at LSbet |
Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 |
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderP. Lienhart
J. Makengo
A. Jung
MidfielderN. Hofler
P. Osterhage
ForwardD. Scherhant
L. Holer
C. Irie
J. Omlin
N. Lomb
DefenderT. Oermann
E. Palacios
M. Tillman
J. Hofmann
A. Tape
ForwardM. Culbreath
E. Owen
Missing players
L. Kubler
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
M. Flekken
DefenderL. Vazquez
L. Bade
ForwardN. Tella
E. Ben Seghir
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
P. Schick
(16 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
A. Garcia
(8 Assists)
Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Freiburg kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 Bundesliga games.
- Freiburg have seen BTTS in nine of their 11 Bundesliga home games this season.
- Leverkusen managed just one clean sheet in their 12 away Bundesliga matches this season.
- Three of Leverkusen’s last four away league games saw both teams score goals.
- Ten of the last 11 Bundesliga matches between these sides produced goals from both teams.
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Our Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Freiburg have scored in every home game this Bundesliga campaign, which makes them a scoring threat. That aside, they have one of the best records at home in this season, losing just one of their 11 Bundesliga games so far (W7, D3). That could put some doubts over the chances of Leverkusen, who have failed to win three of their last five Bundesliga trips, as well as anywhere else.
Looking at Leverkusen’s shaky defensive record and the recent H2H record, our Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Bayer Leverkusen
| Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 3.29 | 3.12 | -5.2% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.52 | -2.8% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 2.3 | 2.46 | +7.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.4% and is now 32.1% (1.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
