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04 December 2022 - 15:00 

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World - World Cup

France Poland
France
France
VS
Poland
Poland

Tip :

Draw at half-time

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France vs Poland Predictions & Betting Tips (World Cup)

 by Daniel Ngulu |

Not many nations advanced to the second round of the 2022 FIFA World Cup having managed just four points. Poland is among the few, after finishing second in Group C to set up a clash against the defending champions France in the round of 16. They were second in their group and here they get to take on France, who lost their final group game but still topped Group D. This clash at the Al Thumama Stadium is scheduled for Sunday 4th December.

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The best odds for betting

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 4.75 9
1xbet
1.4 4.86 9.21
Vbet
1.31 5.6 12
Betobet
1.39 4.9 8.5
Shangrila
1.4 4.75 7.8
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Poland just qualified to the knockout stages by the skin of their teeth, especially after their 2-0 defeat to Argentina in the last group game. They are definitely the underdogs here and bookmakers have offered odds of 14 for a Poland win while France go into the game as the favorites despite their loss to Tunisia in the final group game and a win for them is offered at 1.31. A draw in this game is priced at 5.85.

Form

Last matches

France
France Last matches
L W L W W D

30 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Tunisia
1 :  0
France

26 Nov 2022 - World Cup

France
2 :  1
Denmark

22 Nov 2022 - World Cup

France
4 :  1
Australia

25 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Denmark
2 :  0
France

22 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

France
2 :  0
Austria

13 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

France
0 :  1
Croatia
Poland
Poland Last matches

30 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Poland
0 :  2
Argentina

26 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

22 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Poland

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
Chile

25 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
0 :  1
Poland

22 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  2
Netherlands

Form Analysis

France made massive changes in their game against Tunisia as they suffered a 1-0 loss in their final group game. Going into the game they had already secured their round of 16 slot and despite the loss they finished top of the group. France manager Didier Deschamps did introduce a number of his top players later in the game and Antoine Griezmann managed to get the ball to the back of the net but that was chalked off by VAR. In the end, they had to contend with a first loss in 10 World Cup matches and they will be looking to restart their impressive World Cup run in this game. France’s loss was their second in the last five matches but only the third time in 10 matches that they failed to score. In attack the reigning champions are among the best in the world and coming to this game they have scored two or more goals in three of the last five matches. While they haven’t been the strongest in defence, they’ve only conceded more than once in one of the last eight matches. They have one clean sheet in the last five and three of their last five matches have produced under 2.5 goals. In six of France’s last 10 matches at the World Cup, they have scored two or more goals and failed to score completely in two of the last 10.

Poland haven’t beaten France in the last seven meetings though the last time they met was in 2011, and the last time they met competitively was in 1995. The Poles come into this game straight from a 2-0 loss to Argentina, in a game where Lionel Messi missed a penalty. This was just their first loss in five matches; Poland have won three of the last five games and have four clean sheets in the five matches. They’ve failed to score in two of their last three matches and under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of their last seven matches. In competitive action, seven of Poland’s last 10 matches have produced under 2.5 goals and they’ve failed to score in four of the 10 matches. Poland have managed two wins in their last six World Cup games while they have three clean sheets in 10 World Cup games.

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Starting 11

France

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
H Lloris
3
A Disasi
4
R Varane
18
D Upamecano
22
T Hernandez
13
Y Fofana
14
A Rabiot
20
K Coman
7
A Griezmann
10
K Mbappe
26
M Thuram
9
R Lewandowski
11
K Grosicki
7
A Milik
20
P Zielinski
21
N Zalewski
6
K Bielik
18
B Bereszynski
5
J Bednarek
15
K Glik
2
M Cash
1
W Szczesny

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Poland

Missing players

France
France
Defender D Upamecano
Poland
Poland

Squad analysis

In the loss to Tunisia, one of the reasons fronted for that result was France leaving their starters off the starting line up. A number of them were introduced late in the game and there was an impact though it was a bit late. Antoine Griezmann had a goal ruled out for offside after VAR review, while Kylian Mbappe gave them a good push when he came on. The world champions will benefit from having well rested players, apart from Lucas Hernandez, who was injured in their opening match as they beat Australia 4-1. Mbappe, Griezmann, Jules Kounde, Hugo Lloris, Olivier Giroud are all expected to start this game. Poland have no injury concerns coming into this game but the fact that they had all their starters featuring against Argentina could mean there will be some tired legs out there for the underdogs. 

France - Poland key points

  1. France have drawn at half time in three of their last five matches.
  2. Poland have drawn at half time in four of their last five matches.
  3. France have been kept off the scoresheet an incredible eight times in their last nine matches after the first 45 minutes of play.
  4. Poland have failed to score in two of their three matches at this competition.
  5. Poland’s last seven matches have produced under 2.5 goals.
  6. Poland have been held scoreless in the first half in six of their last seven matches
  7. Three of France’s last five matches have ended in under 2.5 goals.
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Our France vs Poland prediction

For all their might and quality, France have somewhat struggled to kill off matches in the opening half. They’ve led at half time in just one of their last five matches, a game they went on to win 4-1, against Australia. That also happens to be the only of the last five matches that they’ve scored more than two goals. They will be sure to find a Poland side ready to sit back and try to soak the pressure, hoping for a counter attack. With this strategy, we expect France to once again struggle in the opening half and a draw at half time can be a good pick.
 

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Other interesting tips

Under 2.5 goals - odds : 1.9 at Bet365

France have a lethal frontline that they will unleash on Poland after resting a number of key players ahead of this game. However, they mostly get two or less goals. In the last five matches, France have managed more than a goal in just one game, which has made under 2.5 goals a common occurrence and we will back the same as our secondary prediction.

Kylian Mbappe to score - odds : 2.05 at Bet365

Kylian Mbappe will be a man in focus in this game. In the opening two matches, which he started, he scored three goals. He is expected to start here, and will be fresher after only coming on midway through the second half in the last game. In his scoring form, we will back him to score here.

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France vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions

Doha is expected to be cloudy, with 27 degrees forecast during the France v Poland game.

The France v Poland game will be aired live on BBC One for UK followers and fans will also be able to follow the game through livestream via the BBC iPlayer.

The France v Poland game will kick off at 15:00 GMT.

The France v Poland game will be played at the Al Thumama Stadium in Doha.

At the quarters, the winner in the France v Poland game will face the winner in the Round of 16 game pitting England against Senegal.

We're still waiting on the news as to who will officiate the France vs Poland match. When the information becomes available we will be sure to update this page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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