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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
France are second in World Cup qualifying Group D after the first set of fixtures. Tuesday sees them host Iceland who top the table on goal difference. Can Les Bleus get a vital home victory? Read our match prediction.
Their opening game in this group saw France win 2-0 away to Ukraine (the match was played in Poland) with a goal in each half of the game. They are already assured a play-off position because of their run to the Nations League semi-finals but will fully expect to top this group.
The 2022 World Cup losing finalists last failed to qualify for the finals in 1994. Last year saw them get to the last four of the Euros. Only two of their last ten matches have ended in defeat. Tey have never lost to Iceland and five of their last six matches have seen over 3.5 goals scored in them.
Iceland top the table on goal difference after a 5-0 home win over Azerbaijan in their opening match. It took them until the 47th minute to open the scoring in that match. Only once have they made it into the World Cup finals. That was eight years ago.
Only three of their last ten matches have been won. We tip France to win and over 3.5 goals scored.
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The Best Betting Odds for France v Iceland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.08 | 9.5 | 26 |
|
|
1.08 | 10 | 29 |
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1.08 | 10 | 29 |
|
|
1.08 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.08 | 10 | 26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Iceland?
Our prediction for the France vs Iceland match is: France to win and over 3.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between France and Iceland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.63% for a win of France against Iceland with odds of 1.11 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Iceland is 16.53% with odds of 12.3 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs France with odds of 30 at Melbet.
France vs Iceland Form
France and Iceland's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
France and Iceland Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
France vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Oct 2019 - Euro
11 Oct 2018 - International Friendlies
France vs Iceland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
France
Iceland
K. Mbappe
(1 Goals)
,
M. Olise
(1 Goals)
I. Johanneson
(2 Goals)
France - Iceland Key Points
- France have won five of their last six matches against Iceland.
- Of those six games, only one didn't have at least four goals scored in them.
- Seven of Iceland's last ten games have had over 3.5 goals scored in them.
- Iceland have lost four of their last six internationals.
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Our France vs Iceland Prediction
Both of these countries got off to a winning start in this World Cup qualifying group. France will be totally confident of earning three points from this match and have won 11 of their previous 15 games against Iceland with no defeats.
Iceland comfortably beat Azerbaijan but this is far tougher and they have lost four of their last six international fixtures. Only once have they avoided defeat in this fixture when played in France, Our France v Iceland prediction is France to win and over 3.5 goals to be scored.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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