Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
12/09/2026 14:00
Ajax

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions

Ajax will look to swap places with Fortuna Sittard when the teams play on matchday six of the Eredivisie campaign at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. This match on Saturday between the 6th-placed ‘Fortuna’ and the 8th-placed ‘Lancers’ is likely to continue the historical trend of goals in this fixture with over 3.5 goals as our match prediction.

Ahead of this round, Fortuna’s 10 points from five games (W3, D1, L1) put them just three points above Ajax (W2, D1, L1), who have a game in hand.

A 3-2 away win at Den Haag last weekend helped Fortuna keep pace with the top six. It was a second win in a row for the hosts, who have won three of their last four league games (L1).

Their lone defeat of the campaign came at home in their latest fixture, which was also their fourth loss from their last seven league games here (W2, D1, L4).

Ajax were beaten 3-1 at home by PSV last weekend, curtailing their unbeaten start to the season. It also ended a three-game winning sequence in all competitions. The ‘Lancers’ have nevertheless continued their trend of high-scoring games, with their last six competitive games producing at least four goals.

Being on the road hasn’t reduced their impact, as Ajax have won six of their last nine (D3) competitive trips.

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Fortuna Sittard v Ajax Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.4 4.5 1.6
1xbet
6.59 5.1 1.44
Melbet
6.5 5 1.43
Betwinner
6.5 5 1.43
22bet
6.5 5 1.43
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax?

Our prediction for the Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax match is: over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/09/2026 between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.01% for a win of Fortuna Sittard against Ajax with odds of 6.8 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax is 14.16% with odds of 5.25 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 57.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard with odds of 1.6 at Stake.

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Form

Fortuna Sittard and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Fortuna Sittard
10 5 3 1 1 +2
8 Ajax
7 4 2 1 1 +4

Fortuna Sittard and Ajax Last Matches

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard Last matches
W D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

ADO The Hague
2 :  3
Fortuna Sittard

28 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  3
Fortuna Sittard

22 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
3 :  1
Cambuur

8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fortuna Sittard
2 :  1
Apoel Nicosia
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
0 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
3 :  1
Cambuur

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fortuna Sittard
2 :  1
Apoel Nicosia

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Fortuna Sittard
2 :  1
Genk

10 May 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
3 :  2
Zwolle

3 May 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  2
Feyenoord
L L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

ADO The Hague
2 :  3
Fortuna Sittard

28 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  3
Fortuna Sittard

8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Metz
3 :  1
Fortuna Sittard

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Olympiacos
3 :  1
Fortuna Sittard

17 May 2026 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  0
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Ajax Last matches
D D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  4
Ajax

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
5 :  3
FC Sion

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

FC Sion
2 :  4
Ajax

16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Heerenveen

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
2 :  2
Ajax
W W W D W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
5 :  3
FC Sion

16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Heerenveen

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
3 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin

30 Jul 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
4 :  1
FK Vojvodina Novi Sad

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
2 :  1
Burnley
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  4
Ajax

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

FC Sion
2 :  4
Ajax

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
2 :  2
Ajax

9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  2
Ajax

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Volendam
1 :  3
Ajax

23 Jul 2026 - Conference League

FK Vojvodina Novi Sad
1 :  4
Ajax

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fortuna Sittard

0 %

Draw

33 %

Ajax

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
4 :  1
Fortuna Sittard

6 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  3
Ajax

9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
0 :  2
Ajax

18 Sept 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
5 :  0
Fortuna Sittard

10 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Fortuna Sittard

3 Sept 2023 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
0 :  0
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax last Lineups

Fortuna Sittard

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

31
M. Branderhorst
12
I. Pinto
23
P. Brittijn
3
R. Guth
28
J. Hubner
8
J. Dahlhaus
52
M. Ihattaren
20
E. Michut
22
S. 't Zand
9
A. Descotte
25
L. Zeefuik
10
O. Gloukh
99
T. Arokodare
23
S. Berghuis
8
J. Brandt
24
J. Mokio
18
D. Klaassen
12
C. Henrique
15
Y. Baas
30
A. Bouwman
3
A. Gaaei
1
M. Ter Stegen

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Ajax

Substitutes

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Goalkeeper

L. Koopmans

K. Reitmaier

Defender

S. Van Ottele

K. van Burgsteden

Midfielder

Y. Oukili

N. de Groot

G. Buyukhan

M. Gbemou

Forward

D. Stockbrink

Ajax
Ajax
Goalkeeper

M. Paes

Defender

L. Rosa

J. Torrents

D. Janse

T. Kehrer

O. Wijndal

Midfielder

S. Amrabat

A. Ouazane

Forward

V. Tsygankov

M. Leonardo

O. Edvardsen

K. Dolberg

Missing players

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Defender

I. Marquez

S. Wylin

Forward

K. Peterson

S. Simons

Ajax
Ajax
Defender

D. Blind

A. Bouwman

Midfielder

R. Bounida

Forward

S. Adingra

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fortuna Sittard
CD Huachipato Ajax
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands L. Zeefuik (3 Goals)
Netherlands M. Ihattaren (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria T. Arokodare (2 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands M. Ihattaren (2 Assists)
France E. Michut (2 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands S. Berghuis (2 Assists)

Fortuna Sittard and Ajax Stats in Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Ajax
60%
Wins
50%
20%
Losses
25%
20%
Draws
25%
4
Average goals per match
3.5
2.2
Goals scored per match
2.25
1.8
Goals conceded per match
1.25
20%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

Fortuna Sittard - Ajax Key Points

  1. Ajax’s last six competitive matches produced over 3.5 goals.
  2. Four of Sittard’s last five Eredivisie matches have produced four or more goals.
  3. Two of Sittard’s last three home league games also saw four or more goals scored.
  4. Four of Ajax’s last five away competitive matches have seen at least four goals scored.
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Our Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction

Ajax are among the frugal defences of this division with only five goals scored but will be tested by Fortuna here, who are among the top six scoring sides. Ajax were exposed by PSV last weekend in the league, while recent results have all been high-scoring. The same is the case with Fortuna, which is why we are leaning towards the goal market here.

In 11 of the last 14 Eredivisie matches between these sides, including both games last season, at least four goals were scored each time. That’s why our Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction is over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.