Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Matchday two in the CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Flamengo host Independiente Medellín at the Maracana. The hosts lead at the top of the Group A standings with a two-point cushion, while the visitors are third. Here's our match prediction.
Spirits are high at the Maracana camp as Flamengo head into this clash off the back of a positive outcome over the weekend. The home team faced Fluminense in the Serie A Betano. They got the bragging rights in the Fla-Flu derby with a hard-fought 2-1 away from home.
The narrative now shifts to the CONMEBOL Libertadores. Their first match in the group stage was against Cusco of Peru. As expected, they claimed a comfortable 2-0 win on the road.
.
Rubro-Negro are seeking a second consecutive win in this competition. That should be an easy feat to achieve for the defending champions, who boast a two-match winning streak and are unbeaten in their last four games.
Independiente Medellín have not been at their best lately. They've failed to win their last three matches across all competitions and recently suffered a narrow 3-2 home defeat against Atletico Nacional in the Liga DIMAYOR.
El Rojo Paisa are hoping for a return to winning ways and turn their attention to the CONMEBOL Libertadores. They did avoid defeat in the first round, holding Estudiantes de La Plata to a 1-1 draw at home.
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Flamengo v Independiente Medellin Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.19 | 6.6 | 14 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 16 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.2 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 6.2 | 13 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and Independiente Medellin?
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2026 between Flamengo and Independiente Medellin in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.62% for a win of Flamengo against Independiente Medellin with odds of 1.22 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin is 21.6% with odds of 7.4 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo with odds of 16 at Melbet.
Flamengo - Independiente Medellin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Flamengo Independiente Medellin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 56.62% | 1.22 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.72% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 73.81% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Flamengo/Flamengo | 26.17% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin Form
Flamengo and Independiente Medellin's standings in the Copa Libertadores
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 |
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 |
Flamengo and Independiente Medellin Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Recopa Sudamericana
22 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
7 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Campeonato Carioca
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
30 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
23 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
19 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
30 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
19 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
12 Mar 2026 - Copa Libertadores
10 Mar 2026 - U20 Copa Libertadores
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
23 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
13 Mar 2026 - U20 Copa Libertadores
5 Mar 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 Feb 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
Flamengo against Independiente Medellin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
Andrew
DefenderVitao
L. Ortiz
G. Varela
A. Sandro
MidfielderN. De La Cruz
W. Yan
S. Niguez
ForwardPedro
L. Araujo
G. Plata
Everton
S. Ichazo
DefenderJ. Mena
H. Palacios
L. Escorcia Urieta
M. Palacios
J. Viveros Marinez
M. Balanta Cordoba
MidfielderD. Catano
D. Moreno Quintero
H. Loboa
J. Montano
Most goals and assists
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
B. Pinto
(4 Goals)
F. Fydriszewski
(2 Goals)
A. Lucas
(2 Assists)
,
B. Pinto
(2 Assists)
D. Catano
(1 Assists)
,
A. Serna Romana
(1 Assists)
,
J. Montano
(1 Assists)
,
Y. Gonzalez
(1 Assists)
,
F. Chaverra
(1 Assists)
,
H. Loboa
(1 Assists)
Flamengo - Independiente Medellin Key Points
- Flamengo have seen both teams score in three of their last five matches across all competitions.
- Independiente Medellín have scored in each of their last ten matches across all competitions.
- Independiente Medellín have seen both teams find the net in each of their last three CONMEBOL Libertadores games.
- Independiente Medellín have seen both teams score in each of their last three away CONMEBOL Libertadores games.
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Our Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin Prediction
Flamengo are overwhelming favourites to claim their second straight win in the CONMEBOL Libertadores group stages. That should be the case for a side that currently boasts a superior quality at their disposal than their opponents in this upcoming encounter. Keeping a clean sheet in this one won't be easy, having conceded a goal in four of their last five matches.
Despite being underdogs, Independiente Medellín are more than capable of getting on the scoreboard. They have been consistent scorers, finding the net in ten consecutive matches across all competitions. Our Flamengo vs Independiente Medellín prediction: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Flamengo Independiente Medellin
| Flamengo vs Independiente Medellin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 1.22 | 1.22 | 0% |
| Draw | 6.2 | 7.4 | +19.4% |
| Independiente Medellin wins | 15 | 16 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Flamengo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 82.0% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellin game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
