Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
08/03/2026 10:00
Parma

Prediction :

 

Parma wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Most of Parma’s good days in Serie A have come on the road, and they’ll be expecting the same at Fiorentina. These two meet on Sunday, with Parma starting the weekend in 12th place and Fiorentina in 16th. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Fiorentina slumped back to defeat after two straight wins in Serie A and will still be looking over their shoulder. La Viola lost 3-0 at Udinese last time out, failing to build on wins against Pisa and Como.

Balancing matters between European and domestic assignments has posed a separate headache for the hosts. With 13 losses in Serie A, Fiorentina doesn’t inspire much confidence ahead of this encounter. They’ve only won three of the 13 league games they hosted. 

Parma were only held back from registering four straight wins by Cagliari in their last outing. They came from behind to draw 1-1 at home. The visitors had earlier beaten AC Milan, Verona, and Bologna.

Being on a six-match unbeaten run against Fiorentina will be a reason for I Crociati to stay confident. In that period, however, they managed just one win, and that was in the reverse meeting (1-0).

Parma have enjoyed their away trips, and that will fuel belief that they can secure a league double here. They have only suffered one defeat on the road in their last seven matches – against Atalanta – and won four.

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Fiorentina v Parma Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.79 3.65 4.8
Melbet
1.78 3.52 4.82
Betwinner
1.78 3.52 4.82
Bet365
1.73 3.5 5
Roobet
1.75 3.5 4.8
Check all Fiorentina vs Parma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Parma?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Parma match is: Parma wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between Fiorentina and Parma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.9% for a win of Fiorentina against Parma with odds of 1.84 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Parma is 34.95% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Fiorentina with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Fiorentina - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina Parma Prediction Probability Odds
Parma wins 39.15% 5 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 52.21% 1.98 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 59.58%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Parma 18.57% 10 at LSbet

Fiorentina vs Parma Form

Fiorentina and Parma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13 Parma
45 38 11 12 15 -18
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Fiorentina and Parma Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
D W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  0
Fiorentina

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  4
Jagiellonia Bialystok

23 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Pisa SC

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Torino FC
D L L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  4
Jagiellonia Bialystok

23 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Pisa SC

7 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Torino FC

27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Como 1907

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Cagliari

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan
D W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  0
Fiorentina

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

Jagiellonia Bialystok
0 :  3
Fiorentina

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  2
Fiorentina

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Fiorentina

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Fiorentina

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina
Parma
Parma Last matches
L L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  4
Juventus

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma
W L D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  4
Juventus

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina
D W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

14 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Parma

Fiorentina vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

0 %

Draw

83 %

Parma

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Fiorentina

6 Dec 2023 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Parma

7 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  3
Parma

7 Nov 2020 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Fiorentina

Fiorentina against Parma Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
2
Dodo
5
M. Pongracic
6
L. Ranieri
21
R. Gosens
8
R. Mandragora
44
N. Fagioli
27
C. Ndour
17
J. Harrison
91
R. Piccoli
10
A. Gudmundsson
7
G. Strefezza
9
M. Pellegrino
14
E. Valeri
22
O. Sorensen
16
M. Keita
41
H. Caviglia
25
B. Cremaschi
39
A. Circati
37
Troilo
15
E. Del Prato
40
E. Corvi

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Parma

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

P. Leonardelli

O. Christensen

Defender

P. Comuzzo

M. Pongracic 86'

L. Balbo

E. Kouadio

D. Rugani

N. Fortini

Midfielder

J. Fazzini

J. Harrison 81'

G. Fabbian

R. Mandragora 64'

M. Brescianini

C. Ndour 86'

Forward

R. Braschi

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

F. Rinaldi

Z. Suzuki

Defender

B. Conde

N. Ndiaye

F. Carboni

M. Mena Martinez

Midfielder

G. Oristanio

G. Strefezza 72'

J. Ondrejka

C. Ordonez

H. Caviglia 54'

N. Estevez

O. Sorensen 82'

Forward

N. Elphege

M. Pellegrino 72'

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

L. Lezzerini

Defender

F. Parisi

Midfielder

A. Sabiri

M. Solomon

Parma
Parma
Forward

M. Frigan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Parma
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (9 Goals)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)
Best assists
Italy H. Caviglia (4 Assists)

Fiorentina - Parma Key Points

  1. Fiorentina are coming off two straight defeats.
  2. Parma won the reverse meeting with Fiorentina.
  3. In their last five home matches, Fiorentina lost three.
  4. Parma have four wins in their last seven away matches.
  5. Parma are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning three.
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Our Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction

Fiorentina have had short bursts of form here and there but aren’t carrying a good run into this encounter. Their last two matches ended in heavy losses, and they failed to score in 90 minutes in the two games.

With that, we have reason to feel they will be shaky here, as they face a Parma side that has been impressive lately. Parma are unbeaten in their last four matches, and they’ve enjoyed more away from home. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Parma is that Parma wins.

Prediction :

 

Parma wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Parma

Fiorentina vs Parma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fiorentina wins 1.8 1.84 +2.2%
Draw 3.76 3.7 -1.6%
Parma wins 5.16 5 -3.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Parma is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 19.4% and is now 20.0% (0.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction