Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
02/11/2025 09:00
Lecce

Prediction :

 

Draw or Lecce

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina and Lecce will face off in Serie A at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in an early-season relegation battle. Winless Fiorentina are 19th going into the match, with Lecce three places ahead. We have a prediction below.

Fiorentina are coming off a 3-0 defeat at the hands of Inter Milan. That meant they’ve gone winless in the opening nine Serie A matches for the first time in their history.

The positive side of things is that they are just a point below safety, and a good win here could lift them to as high as 15th. La Viola scored seven times as they beat Lecce twice last season. How they’d wish for a repeat!

Lecce have avoided defeat in two of their last four meetings with Fiorentina, winning one. From the onset, they were supposed to be relegation candidates, but here they have a chance to rise away.

This match finds them only two points ahead of Fiorentina, and they will see it as a key game in their survival targets.

After a tough outing against Napoli, which they lost 1-0, Lecce will view this as a winnable encounter. They should have pushed Napoli harder but missed a penalty at 0-0.

There are a lot of positives and lessons from that defeat that Lecce hope will guide them to a second win of the season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Lecce Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.7 3.5 5.5
Betfred
1.67 3.6 5.5
William Hill
1.7 3.6 5
Unibet
1.67 3.5 5.5
Betway
1.78 3.4 5
Check all Fiorentina vs Lecce odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Lecce?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Lecce match is: draw or Lecce wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between Fiorentina and Lecce in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.09% for a win of Fiorentina against Lecce with odds of 1.79 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Lecce is 25.3% with odds of 4.14 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Fiorentina with odds of 6.29 at 22bet.

Fiorentina - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina Lecce Prediction Probability Odds
Fiorentina wins 46.09% 1.79 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 66.83% 2.6 at Stake
Both Team To Score 59.17%
Half-time / Full-time : Fiorentina/Fiorentina 19.83% 2.63 at Bet365

Fiorentina vs Lecce Form

Fiorentina and Lecce's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14
Lecce
Lecce
16 15 4 4 7 -8
20
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
9 16 1 6 9 -10

Fiorentina and Lecce Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L L D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Fiorentina

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Bologna

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Rapid Wien
0 :  3
Fiorentina

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Sigma Olomouc
W W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Bologna

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Sigma Olomouc

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Como 1907

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

28 Aug 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  2
FC Polissya Zhytomyr
D W D D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Fiorentina

23 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Rapid Wien
0 :  3
Fiorentina

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Fiorentina
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
L L L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  2
Lecce

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
Bologna

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce
W W L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
Bologna

19 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Cagliari

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
2 :  0
Juve Stabia
W D D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  2
Lecce

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lecce

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SS Monopoli
2 :  2
Lecce

Fiorentina vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

50 %

Draw

33 %

Lecce

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

28 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  6
Fiorentina

2 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
3 :  2
Fiorentina

27 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Lecce

19 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lecce

17 Oct 2022 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Players list

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

D. De Gea

Defender

M. Pongracic

J. Fazzini

L. Ranieri

Dodo

N. Fortini

Midfielder

S. Sohm

A. Gudmundsson

Forward

R. Mandragora

M. Kean

R. Piccoli

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

W. Falcone

Defender

D. Melo Veiga

K. Gaspar

Tiago Gabriel

A. Gallo

Midfielder

L. Coulibaly

Y. Ramadani

Forward

Y. Maleh

S. Pierotti

F. Camarda

M. Kaba

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

L. Lezzerini

T. Martinelli

Defender

E. Kouadio

E. Kospo

P. Mari

F. Parisi

Midfielder

R. Mandragora

H. Caviglia

A. Richardson

S. Sohm

C. Ndour

J. Fazzini

P. Comuzzo

Forward

R. Piccoli

E. Dzeko

A. Gudmundsson

N. Fagioli

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

J. Samooja

C. Fruchtl

Defender

C. Ndaba

C. Kouassi

J. Siebert

Midfielder

K. N-Dri

T. Helgason

A. Sala

S. Pierotti

L. Banda

Y. Maleh

M. Berisha

M. Kaba

T. Morente

Forward

F. Camarda

N. Stulic

R. Sottil

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

T. Lamptey

R. Gosens

M. Viti

Forward

C. Kouame

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

G. Jean

M. Ignacio

Midfielder

F. Marchwinski

H. Rafia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
Italy R. Mandragora (5 Goals)
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (5 Goals)
Italy M. Kean (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Albania M. Berisha (2 Goals) Mali L. Coulibaly (2 Goals) Ivory Coast K. N’Dri (2 Goals)
Best assists
Italy N. Fagioli (2 Assists)
Brazil Dodo (2 Assists)
Best assists
Albania M. Berisha (3 Assists)

Fiorentina - Lecce Key Points

  1. Fiorentina have suffered three defeats in four home league games.
  2. Lecce collected four of their six points in away matches.
  3. Lecce have posted one league win so far in the season.
  4. Fiorentina remain winless in Serie A this season.
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Our Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction

Last season, Fiorentina lost only three Serie A matches at home. This season they’ve already lost three home league matches in just four outings. The signals are up; it is going to be a tough season, especially at home, where they’ve managed just one point so far.

Lecce hasn't won a lot in this fixture, but here they have genuine reason to go for three points. They’ve done better on the road, and our prediction for Fiorentina v Lecce is a draw or Lecce wins.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Lecce

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Lecce

Fiorentina vs Lecce Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fiorentina wins 1.7 1.7 0%
Draw 3.4 3.5 +2.9%
Lecce wins 5.5 5.5 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fiorentina is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 58.8% (0.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction