Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar | in Serie A Predictions
Newly crowned Coppa Italia Champions Bologna will look to push for a top-four place as they travel to Fiorentina in their penultimate match of the Serie A season on Sunday. This match between the ninth-placed La Viola and the seventh-placed Rossoblu comes with our prediction of an away win.
With 59 points, Fiorentina are three points outside European qualification places, the last of which is currently occupied by Bologna. They can still dream of qualifying for the Champions League, as only two points separate them from fourth.
A 2-1 away defeat to Venezia last weekend made it three defeats and a draw for Fiorentina. With their dreams shattered in the semi-final of the Conference League, they seem to have lost momentum.
Time’s running away if they want to qualify for Europe next season, and playing at home is a good omen. Fiorentina weren’t beaten in eight consecutive home games in all competitions, winning five.
Bologna edged AC Milan 1-0 on Wednesday in the final of the Coppa Italia, qualifying for next season’s Europa League. They can make it better with a win, as they start two points behind the fourth-placed Juventus.
Playing on the road won’t be an issue for Bologna, who have four wins from their last seven away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Bologna Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.1 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 3 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Bologna match is: Bologna wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2025 between Fiorentina and Bologna in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.46% for a win of Fiorentina against Bologna with odds of 3.2 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Bologna is 29.83% with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.7 at Bet365.
Fiorentina - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Bologna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 36.71% | 2.7 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.75% | 2.4 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 44.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bologna | 15.48% | 6 at Bet365 |
Fiorentina vs Bologna Form
Fiorentina and Bologna's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
|
9
|
62 | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
Fiorentina and Bologna Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2025 - Serie A
8 May 2025 - Conference League
4 May 2025 - Serie A
1 May 2025 - Conference League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2025 - Conference League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
1 May 2025 - Conference League
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Coppa Italia
4 May 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Bologna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
14 Feb 2024 - Serie A
9 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia
12 Nov 2023 - Serie A
5 Feb 2023 - Serie A
11 Sep 2022 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Bove
D. Cataldi
M. Folorunsho
ForwardL. Beltran
M. Erlic
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Bologna
M. Kean
(22 Goals)
R. Orsolini
(15 Goals)
R. Gosens
(9 Assists)
J. Miranda
(6 Assists)
Fiorentina - Bologna Key Points
- Bologna won nine of their last 14 matches in all competitions, losing only two.
- Bologna have also won four of their last seven away matches in all competitions.
- Bologna won four of their last five Serie A matches against Fiorentina, including a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture.
- Fiorentina lost three of their four recent matches in all competitions.
- Fiorentina have failed to win three of their last four home games in all competitions.
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Our Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction
The festivities must be continuing in Bologna after they won the Coppa Italia tournament on Wednesday, ending more than 50 years of waiting for silverware. They can now make it memorable by finishing fourth and qualifying for the Champions League. A win here will certainly take their fight to the last matchday. Fiorentina are also in with an outside chance of qualification for Europe, but they need to win here. Recent form as well as head-to-head form doesn’t augur well, and our Fiorentina vs Bologna prediction is Bologna wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Bologna
| Fiorentina vs Bologna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 2.9 | 2.88 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Bologna wins | 2.5 | 2.7 | +8.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bologna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 37.0% (-3.0%)
Use the Fiorentina vs. Bologna game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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