Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Conference League Predictions
Fiorentina would be looking to park their domestic troubles aside as they host a confident AEK Athens on matchday four of the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League. This match on Thursday between the eighth-placed La Viola and the 15th-placed Yellow-Blacks in Florence comes with our prediction of BTTS.
Ahead of matchday four, Fiorentina’s six points (W2, L1) put them marginally inside the top eight spots. AEK have four points (W1, D1, L1) and are two points behind Fiorentina.
The hosts are coming off a 1-1 home draw against Juventus last weekend in Serie A, which continued their search for a win. La Viola are winless across their last six fixtures (D3, L3) and still remain in the relegation zone.
Fiorentina will hope to improve their fortunes at home, as they had just one win from their last seven fixtures here in all competitions (D2, L4). They were beaten on matchday three of this competition but have won on the other two matchdays.
Athens won 1-0 at home against Aris last weekend, making it four wins and a draw from their last five fixtures. Interestingly, they have scored exactly one goal in their last five games.
The visitors were beaten 3-1 away at Celje on matchday one of this competition before winning 6-0 at home against Aberdeen, before a 1-1 draw against Shamrock Rovers, also at home.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v AEK Athens Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.8 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and AEK Athens?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs AEK Athens match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/11/2025 between Fiorentina and AEK Athens in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.16% for a win of Fiorentina against AEK Athens with odds of 1.73 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs AEK Athens is 26.05% with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.79% chance ⭐ for a win of AEK Athens vs Fiorentina with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
Fiorentina vs AEK Athens Form
Fiorentina and AEK Athens's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
|
15
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Fiorentina and AEK Athens Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Superleague
9 Nov 2025 - Superleague
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2 Nov 2025 - Superleague
29 Oct 2025 - Greece Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Superleague
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Superleague
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2 Nov 2025 - Superleague
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - Superleague
28 Sept 2025 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Superleague
29 Oct 2025 - Greece Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Superleague
5 Oct 2025 - Superleague
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
21 Sept 2025 - Superleague
Fiorentina vs AEK Athens last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
T. Lamptey
R. Gosens
ForwardC. Kouame
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
AEK Athens
A. Gudmundsson
(3 Goals)
, 
R. Mandragora
(3 Goals)
L. Jovic
(3 Goals)
,
M. Kean
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Sohm
(1 Assists)
,
R. Piccoli
(1 Assists)
,
E. Kouadio
(1 Assists)
,
N. Fortini
(1 Assists)
,
H. Caviglia
(1 Assists)
,
C. Ndour
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
N. Eliasson
(3 Assists)
, 
P. Mantalos
(3 Assists)
Fiorentina and AEK Athens Stats in Conference League
Fiorentina - AEK Athens Key Points
- Six of Fiorentina’s last nine matches have seen both teams score goals.
- Three of Fiorentina’s last four home games saw goals from both teams.
- Three of Athens’ last six away matches saw both teams score goals.
- Athens scored exactly once in their last five competitive matches.
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Our Fiorentina vs AEK Athens Prediction
Fiorentina continue to be in the doldrums in their Serie A campaign, remaining in the relegation zone. Their European form has been a sharp contrast, as they are in a fairly better zone in the Conference League. Athens are in a different plane, as their Conference League form has been indifferent, but their overall form has been impressive. The Greek visitors are undefeated in their last five competitive fixtures, drawing only once, while winning four times.
This match could be an intriguing contest, and our Fiorentina vs AEK Athens prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
