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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Finland
13 Oct 2024 12:00
England

Prediction :

England to win and over 1.5 goals scored

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Finland vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions

England have to bounce back after their 2-1 home loss to Greece on Thursday evening. They are second in this Nations League group and travel to Finland who are bottom-of-the-table and facing relegation to League C.

The away side are three points behind leaders Greece after that surprise defeat at Wembley. They have a three point lead over third placed Ireland who they still have to play at home. A win in Finland will take them close to at least earning a promotion play-off position. It's how the Three Lions play that is most important here. Interim coach Lee Carsley employed new tactics against Greece and they failed dismally.

Finland are yet to earn a point in this Nations League group. The Eagle-Owls lost 2-1 at home to Ireland on Thursday, a disappointing result after taking the lead. Another loss here would see them in danger of being automatically relegated. Here's our match prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for Finland v England Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
11 6 1.25
Ladbrokes
10 5.5 1.25
1xbet
11.9 6.27 1.27
22bet
11.9 6.27 1.27
Betobet
12.5 5.5 1.24
Betwinner
12 6 1.24
Stake
11 5.4 1.28
Melbet
11 5.75 1.26
Tonybet
11 5.6 1.3
Check all Finland vs England odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Finland and England?

Our prediction for the Finland vs England match is: England to win and over 1.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2024 between Finland and England in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.21% for a win of Finland against England with odds of 12.5 at Betobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Finland vs England is 16.51% with odds of 6.27 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 60.28% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Finland with odds of 1.3 at Tonybet.

Finland - England Prediction and Best Odds:

Finland England Prediction Probability Odds
England wins 60.28% 1.3 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 52.17% 1.86 at Stake
Both Team To Score 50% 2.25 at Ladbrokes
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: England 27.33% 3.8 at Ladbrokes

Finland vs England Form

Finland and England's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
England
England
9 4 3 0 1 5
4
Finland
Finland
0 4 0 0 4 -8

Finland and England Last Matches

Finland
Finland Last matches
W L D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
1 :  2
Ireland

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
2 :  0
Finland

7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Greece
3 :  0
Finland

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Scotland
2 :  2
Finland

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Portugal
4 :  2
Finland

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Finland
2 :  1
Estonia
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
1 :  2
Ireland

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Finland
2 :  1
Estonia

17 Nov 2023 - Euro

Finland
4 :  0
Northern Ireland

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

Finland
1 :  2
Kazakhstan

10 Sep 2023 - Euro

Finland
0 :  1
Denmark

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Finland
6 :  0
San Marino
W L L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
2 :  0
Finland

7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Greece
3 :  0
Finland

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Scotland
2 :  2
Finland

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Portugal
4 :  2
Finland

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
4 :  1
Finland

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

San Marino
1 :  2
Finland
England
England Last matches
D W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
1 :  2
Greece

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
2 :  0
Finland

7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
0 :  2
England

14 Jul 2024 - Euro

Spain
2 :  1
England

10 Jul 2024 - Euro

Netherlands
1 :  2
England

6 Jul 2024 - Euro

England
1 :  1
Switzerland
L D W D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
1 :  2
Greece

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
2 :  0
Finland

6 Jul 2024 - Euro

England
1 :  1
Switzerland

30 Jun 2024 - Euro

England
2 :  1
Slovakia

25 Jun 2024 - Euro

England
0 :  0
Slovenia

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

England
0 :  1
Iceland
D W D W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
0 :  2
England

14 Jul 2024 - Euro

Spain
2 :  1
England

10 Jul 2024 - Euro

Netherlands
1 :  2
England

20 Jun 2024 - Euro

Denmark
1 :  1
England

16 Jun 2024 - Euro

Serbia
0 :  1
England

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia
1 :  1
England

Finland vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

England
2 :  0
Finland
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Finland - England: Form Analysis

England have six points after their first three games of this Nations League group. They trail leaders Greece by three points and travel there in their next fixture in November. The Three Lions had beaten Ireland and Finland before Thursday's 2-1 home loss.

England have a strong away record.

They have only lost one of their last 14 away matches and that was when beaten by Spain in the Euro 2024 final. Just one of their last six away games in the Nations League has been won but they've played some tough opponents, far tougher than Finland.

The home side are without a win in their last five matches and lost 2-0 away to England last month. Three of their last five home fixtures have ended in defeat and only one of ther last four home Nations League matches has been won.

Finland have already conceded seven goals in this group and more look to be on the way this weekend. We go for England to win this match and over 1.5 goals to be scored in the match.

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Finland against England Lineups: Starting 11

Finland

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Hradecky
17
N. Alho
5
A. Hoskonen
4
R. Ivanov
18
J. Uronen
6
G. Kamara
11
R. Schuller
3
M. Peltola
9
F. Jensen
19
B. Kallman
21
T. Keskinen
8
J. Bellingham
9
H. Kane
17
J. Grealish
20
C. Palmer
19
A. Gomes
4
D. Rice
12
K. Walker
6
M. Guehi
5
J. Stones
2
T. Alexander-Arnold
13
D. Henderson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3

England

Finland & England Squad Analysis

England will have to make changes for this match against Finland. Interim coach Lee Carsley said after Thursday's loss to Greece that he "will definitely freshen up the team for the next game."

Watkins could start this match against Finland.

Harry Kane and Jack Grealish both missed Thursday's match but could return for this game. They might only be on the subs bench at the start of the game. If Kane isn't fit, it may well be that unlike against Greece, Carsley begins with a number nine with Ollie Watkins likely to fill that spot. 

Bukayo Saka injured his right leg on Thursday and is a doubt for this match. Another loss for Carsley would certainly dent his hopes of taking the England job full-time and he's aleady been talking of returning to his job as coach of the Under-21 team.

Finland really need to get a win here to boost their chances of avoiding relegation to League C. Teemu Pukki may return to the side for this match against England but they will continue to be without Kaan Kairinen.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Finland
CD Huachipato England
Top Goalscorer
Finland J. Pohjanpalo (1 Goals)
Finland A. Hoskonen (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Grealish (2 Goals) England D. Rice (2 Goals) England H. Kane (2 Goals)
Best assists
Finland L. Walta (1 Assists)
Best assists
England D. Rice (1 Assists)
England T. Alexander-Arnold (1 Assists)
England N. Madueke (1 Assists)
England D. Solanke (1 Assists)
England O. Watkins (1 Assists)
England A. Gomes (1 Assists)

Finland - England Key Points

  1. England beat Finland 2-0 in the reverse fixture.
  2. England have only lost one of their last 14 away matches.
  3. Finland have gone five matches without a win.
  4. The last seven Finland defeats have all seen over 1.5 goals scored in the match.
  5. The last three England away games have all had over 1.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Finland vs England Prediction

England need to get three points from this Nations League after Thursday's loss. Lee Carsley will make changes not just because of injuries but the fact the side he picked for the Greece match just didn't work. Is he really good enough to be the full-time coach?

Finland are in desperate trouble at the bottom of the group and look on their way to League C. They have lost all three of their group matches with seven goals conceded and lost 2-0 at Wembley.

Our main Finland v England prediction is England to win and over 1.5 goals.

Prediction :

England to win and over 1.5 goals scored

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Finland vs England - Other Interesting Predictions

England to lead at half and full time

Odds 1.83
England will be determined to put Thursday's loss behind them. They are strong in away matches and have never lost to FInland with ten wins and two draws. A win with them ahead at both half and full time looks a good bet.
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Finland vs England match : Frequently asked questions

This Nations League match between Finland and England is being played on Sunday October 13. It's scheduled start is 17:00 UK time.
This is a home match for Finland and it will be played at the Helsinki Olympic Stadium where they lost 2-1 to ireland on Thursday.
This Nations League match will be shown live in the UK on ITV1 and online at ITVX, no subscription is required. You can also follow all that's happening on our Nations League livescore with updated statistics and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Finland vs England Prediction
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