FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant Prediction & Betting Tips - Indian Super League
India - Indian Super League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Indian Super League Predictions
The 2025-26 Indian Super League (ISL) title race could take a definitive turn when Goa and Mohun Bagan face each other in matchday 12 on Saturday at the Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in Goa. This match between the 4th-placed Gaurs and the 3rd-placed Mariners comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals as it pits two sides with impressive defensive credentials this season.
Ahead of this round, Goa’s 19 points from 11 matches (W5, D4, L2) see them two points behind leaders East Bengal. Mohun Bagan are one point and one place above Goa (W6, D2, L1), having played just nine games.
Goa lost 2-0 away at Jamshedpur on May 1, losing the momentum of three consecutive victories. Both their defeats this season have come by the 2-0 scoreline, but the Gaurs still have an impressive defensive record. Even the results are better when they play at this venue, having won three of their last four home ISL matches.
Mohun Bagan edged North East United 1-0 away from home on 19th April. With nearly a two-week gap since that run of consecutive wins, the Mariners could be sweating on maintaining that momentum. The challenge could be to improve their away form, as Mohun Bagan could win just one of their three away league games this season (D2).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
FC Goa v Mohun Bagan Super Giant Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1 | 3.4 | 1.78 |
|
|
5.07 | 3.62 | 1.6 |
|
|
4.28 | 3.4 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.65 | 1.65 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between FC Goa and Mohun Bagan Super Giant?
Our prediction for the FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between FC Goa and Mohun Bagan Super Giant in Indian Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.32% for a win of FC Goa against Mohun Bagan Super Giant with odds of 5.1 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant is 22.2% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs FC Goa with odds of 1.78 at Stake.
FC Goa - Mohun Bagan Super Giant Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Goa Mohun Bagan Super Giant Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mohun Bagan Super Giant wins | 44.48% | 1.78 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 55.93% | 1.91 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Mohun Bagan Super Giant/Mohun Bagan Super Giant | 17.54% | 2.63 at LSbet |
FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant Form
FC Goa and Mohun Bagan Super Giant's standings in the Indian Super League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +14 |
|
7
|
20 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +4 |
FC Goa and Mohun Bagan Super Giant Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2026 - Indian Super League
24 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
18 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
10 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
4 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
22 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
10 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
4 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
26 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
14 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
24 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2026 - Indian Super League
24 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
22 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
16 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
5 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
20 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
12 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
4 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
20 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
14 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
6 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
20 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
6 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
28 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
23 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
14 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
4 Apr 2026 - Indian Super League
14 Mar 2026 - Indian Super League
9 Aug 2025 - Durand Cup
26 Apr 2025 - Indian Super Cup
3 Apr 2025 - Indian Super League
FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
0 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2025 - Indian Super Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League
20 Dec 2024 - Indian Super League
14 Feb 2024 - Indian Super League
23 Dec 2023 - Indian Super League
FC Goa against Mohun Bagan Super Giant Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
H. Tiwari
DefenderS. Carvalho
M. Yasir
N. Dorjee
R. Kharbudon
H. Patre
P. Vishwas
I. Pandita
D. Lalhlimpuia
S. Hussain Bukhari
DefenderM. Singh
A. Ranawade
MidfielderA. Suryavanshi
D. Tangri
M. Singh
A. Suhail
D. Petratos
J. Cummings
Most goals and assists
FC Goa
Mohun Bagan Super Giant
D. Drazic
(6 Goals)
J. MacLaren
(10 Goals)
D. Drazic
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Sangwan
(2 Assists)
,
B. Fernandes
(2 Assists)
L. Colaco
(4 Assists)
FC Goa - Mohun Bagan Super Giant Key Points
- Mohun Bagan (six) and Goa (eight) have the best defensive records in this ISL campaign.
- Mohun Bagan’s expected goals (xG) conceded of 6.5 is the second-best in this season, while Goa (7.0) are right behind them.
- Ten of Goa’s 11 league games this season produced under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Mohun Bagan’s last five league outings returned two or fewer goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant Prediction
This is an intriguing match, not just because these sides are in the middle of a tight title race. It’s also because of the frugal defensive records of both Goa and Mohun Bagan. They have kept five and four clean sheets, respectively, in this ISL campaign, and that’s also reflective in the expected goals (xG) conceded tally this season.
This could be a tight game between two superior defensive units, so our FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Goa Mohun Bagan Super Giant
| FC Goa vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Goa wins | 3.6 | 5.1 | +41.7% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 4 | +21.2% |
| Mohun Bagan Super Giant wins | 2.02 | 1.78 | -11.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mohun Bagan Super Giant is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 49.5% and is now 56.2% (6.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the FC Goa vs. Mohun Bagan Super Giant game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between FC Goa and Mohun Bagan Super Giant? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Indian Super League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
