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FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

FC Aktobe
17/07/2025 12:00
Legia Warsaw

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Ian John in Europa League Predictions

After a tight first leg at the Wojska Polskiego Stadium last week, Legia Warsaw travel to Kazakhstan for the second leg of their Europa League Qualifier against FC Aktobe, holding a narrow 1-0 lead. Will Edward Iordanescu's Militarians complete the job on the road, or can caretaker manager Vyacheslav Levchuk lead the Red and Whites to an unexpected success on home soil? Let's check out our prediction for the match!

The first leg of this tie proved to be a closer contest than many expected. FC Aktobe showed real defensive resilience to hold Warsaw to a 1-0 victory, thanks to a 25th-minute strike from striker Vahan Bichakhchyan. With the second leg to be played at Aktobe's Central Stadium, the hosts will feel they have a good chance of overturning that first leg loss.

Heading into the game, FC Aktobe have not played since their 1-0 defeat in Poland last week. Prior to that, though, they had won two league games comfortably, a 3-0 away win over Turan and then a 2-0 home win over Atyrau—results which keep them very much in the title race in the Kazakhstan Premier League after 16 games.

The Polish league season is not underway as yet, but Legia Warsaw followed up their win over FC Aktobe with a 2-1 win over Lech Poznan in the Polish SuperCup Final at the weekend, earning them their first silverware of the season.

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The Best Betting Odds for FC Aktobe v Legia Warsaw Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.5 3.75 1.65
Betfred
4.5 3.5 1.67
William Hill
4.8 3.5 1.65
Betway
4.75 3.6 1.67
Unibet
4.6 3.8 1.68
Check all FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between FC Aktobe and Legia Warsaw?

Our prediction for the FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/07/2025 between FC Aktobe and Legia Warsaw in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.03% for a win of FC Aktobe against Legia Warsaw with odds of 5.26 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw is 11.66% with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 56.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Legia Warsaw vs FC Aktobe with odds of 1.73 at 22bet.

FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw Form

FC Aktobe and Legia Warsaw Last Matches

FC Aktobe
FC Aktobe Last matches
L D L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

5 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
2 :  0
FK Atyrau

29 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FK Turan
0 :  3
FC Aktobe

22 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
0 :  1
FC Astana

14 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Kyzylzhar SK
1 :  1
FC Aktobe

30 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
1 :  2
Kairat Almaty
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
2 :  0
FK Atyrau

22 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
0 :  1
FC Astana

30 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
1 :  2
Kairat Almaty

11 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
1 :  0
FC Yelimai

26 Apr 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
1 :  0
Ulytau FC

6 Apr 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Aktobe
4 :  1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
W W L D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

29 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FK Turan
0 :  3
FC Aktobe

14 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Kyzylzhar SK
1 :  1
FC Aktobe

25 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2 :  1
FC Aktobe

17 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Okzhetpes
1 :  3
FC Aktobe

3 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Zhenis
0 :  1
FC Aktobe
Legia Warsaw
Legia Warsaw Last matches
D L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  2
Legia Warsaw

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FK Jablonec

25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
2 :  2
Legia Warsaw

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Legia Warsaw
2 :  3
Wisla Plock

24 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw
2 :  2
FKS Stal Mielec
W L D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FK Jablonec

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Legia Warsaw
2 :  3
Wisla Plock

24 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw
2 :  2
FKS Stal Mielec

11 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw
0 :  1
KKS Lech Poznan

21 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw
2 :  1
KS Lechia Gdansk
W W W L D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  2
Legia Warsaw

25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
2 :  2
Legia Warsaw

18 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

MKS Cracovia Krakow
3 :  1
Legia Warsaw

15 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz
0 :  2
Legia Warsaw

2 May 2025 - Polish Cup

MKS Pogon Szczecin
3 :  4
Legia Warsaw

26 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa

GKS Katowice
1 :  3
Legia Warsaw

FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FC Aktobe
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FC Aktobe - Legia Warsaw Key Points

  1. Three of FC Aktobe's last four games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Four of Legia Warsaw's last eight games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Four of FC Aktobe's last five home games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  4. The first leg of the tie finished as a 1-0 home win for Legia in a game of few chances.
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Our FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw Prediction

Our prediction for the FC Aktobe vs. Legia Warsaw Europa League Qualifier 2nd Leg is: Under 2.5 Goals.

After a very tight first leg in Poland, Legia hold a slender lead for the second leg in Kazakhstan. FC Aktobe don't concede many goals, and Legia struggled to break them down on home soil last week. The data suggests that this second leg will be equally competitive and likely see chances few and far between. As such, the Under 2.5 Goals market looks like the smart value bet here.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

FC Aktobe vs Legia Warsaw Prediction
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