Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Two unseeded players face each other in round one of the BNP Paribas Open. Fabian Marozsan faces Roberto Bautista Agut in this outdoor hard court Masters tournament. Time for our match prediction.
Fabian Marozsan is playing at Indian Wells for the third time. He’s had a successful Sunshine Swing in the past, reaching round four here in 2024. The Hungarian has won six of his 11 outdoor hard court matches this year. A semi-final was reached in Auckland and round three of the Australian Open.
He needs a win after losing his last two matches, both against top 30 ranked players.
The winner of this match will face 14th seed and defending champion Jack Draper in round two.
Roberto Bautista Agut leads his opponent 2-1 in previous meetings and both on this surface. Agut would love to return to that kind of form as he’s only won one of his five matches played in 2026.
The Spaniard has lost both of his outdoor hard court matches this year and four overall. Agut last won on this surface last August and only via his opponent retiring. He's currently 90th in the live rankings, 46 behind Marozsan.
We tip Marozsan to win set one and go on to win the match.
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Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista-Agut Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.25 | 3.96 |
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1.28 | 3.66 |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.26 | 3.55 |
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1.26 | 3.55 |
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Who will win the Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut match is: Marozsan wins set one and the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut game on 05/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Fabian Marozsan has a 61.56% chance to win against Roberto Bautista-Agut according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.3.
- Roberto Bautista-Agut has a 38.44% probability of winning facing Fabian Marozsan ⭐ with odds of 3.96 at Melbet.
Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Fabian Marozsan has a 61.56 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Fabian Marozsan | 61.56 % |
| Roberto Bautista-Agut | 38.44 % |
Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Form
Fabian Marozsan and Roberto Bautista-Agut Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
18 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
7 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
9 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
4 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
2 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
12 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
24 Feb 2025 - ATP Dubai Open
2 Jan 2024 - Hong Kong Open
8 Nov 2023 - Sofia Open
Fabian Marozsan - Roberto Bautista-Agut Key Points
- Marozsan is 46 places above Agut in the live rankings.
- Agut has only won one match this year.
- Marozsan has reached one semi-final in 2026.
- Each of the last five matches won by Marozsan have seen him take the first set.
- Agut has lost the opening set in his last two matches, both lost.
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Our Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista-Agut Prediction
Fabian Marozsan last beat Roberto Bautista Agut three years ago. He has lost twice to the Spaniard since then but he has an excellent chance to beat him on Wednesday. Marozsan has a good record here and has reached one semi-final in 2026.
It's been a struggle this year for Roberto Bautista Agut. He's only won one match so far this year and has lost four of the last five matches played at Indian Wells. Our Fabian Marozsan v Roberto Bautista Agut prediction is Marozsan wins set one and the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
