Exeter RC Chiefs vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Exeter Chiefs host Cardiff Rugby in this Challenge Cup final pool-stage match on Sunday. The two teams have qualified for the round-of-16, but will wrestle for a stronger finish in the pool’s knockout places for a favourable round-of-16 seeding. Here is our prediction for the match.
Exeter Chiefs head into this match off the back of a narrow two-point defeat to Stade Francais the last time out. They surrendered a 17–0 first-half lead, ultimately falling 27–25 to the French side and pool leaders.
That result marked their first defeat of the competition after an unbeaten start in their opening two matches (W1, D1), leaving them fourth in the standings with nine points. A win on Sunday could catapult the Premiership club to a second-place finish. They have won all six of their home matches this season across competitions, five of which by blowout margins.
Cardiff Rugby moved up to third in the pool standings with 10 points following an emphatic 32–13 home win over Racing 92 in their last match. However, the Blue and Blacks have struggled for consistency on the road. They have lost five of their last seven away matches and suffered defeats in their last six European away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Exeter RC Chiefs v Cardiff Rugby Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.07 | 41 | 8 |
|
|
1.06 | 41 | 10 |
|
|
1.08 | 20 | 7 |
|
|
1.06 | 35 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.06 | 41 | 10 |
|
Exeter RC Chiefs vs Cardiff Rugby Form
Exeter RC Chiefs and Cardiff Rugby Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - PREM Rugby
28 Dec 2025 - PREM Rugby
20 Dec 2025 - PREM Rugby
14 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Dec 2025 - PREM Rugby
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Premiership Rugby Cup
25 Oct 2025 - PREM Rugby
19 Oct 2025 - PREM Rugby
4 Oct 2025 - PREM Rugby
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - PREM Rugby
20 Dec 2025 - PREM Rugby
14 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
28 Nov 2025 - PREM Rugby
14 Nov 2025 - Premiership Rugby Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
26 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
19 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
1 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
4 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
16 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
Exeter RC Chiefs - Cardiff Rugby Key Points
- Exeter Chiefs won their previous pool-stage home fixture by 30 points.
- Exeter Chiefs have won all six of their home matches this season across all competitions, five of which by blowout margins.
- Cardiff Rugby lost their previous pool-stage away fixture by 21 points.
- Cardiff Rugby have lost their last six European away matches.
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Our Exeter RC Chiefs vs Cardiff Rugby Prediction
The two teams will look to secure a stronger pool- finish with a win. However, Exeter Chiefs are the overwhelming favourites to emerge victorious on Sunday. They came out with an impressive 30-point victory in their previous pool-stage home fixture, while Cardiff Rugby’s last trip ended in a wide-margin defeat.
The Chiefs have also enjoyed a perfect home run this season in all of their six matches, winning five by clear-cut margins. Hence, we are backing them for a wide-margin victory. Our Exeter Chiefs vs Cardiff Rugby prediction is Exeter Chiefs -17.5 handicap.
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Try your luck on this year's Challenge Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
