Ethiopia vs DR Congo Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Ethiopia and DR Congo will lock horns in their second match of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers at the Benjamin Mkapa Stadium on Monday night. The Walyas are in second place in Group H, while the Leopards lead the standing after matchday one. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Ethiopia commenced their AFCON qualification campaign with a fairly underwhelming performance, drawing goalless on the road to Tanzania in midweek.
The Walyas had marginally more possession in the match (53%) but failed to manage a single shot on target across the 90 despite having eight attempts on goal.
That result was Ethiopia’s third consecutive stalemate, following a 0-0 draw against Guinea-Bissau and a 1-1 draw to Djibouti during World Cup qualifying back in June this year. Over their last five home games, the hosts have a record of two wins, one draw and two defeats
Meanwhile, just seven months ago, DR Congo put together a very impressive AFCON run, reaching the semi-final of the competition and finishing in fourth place after losing to South Africa in the third-place playoff.
Since then, the Leopards have played two games, both World Cup qualifiers in June this year, and held Senegal to a 1-1 draw before beating Togo 1-0 just a few days later.
The visitors have failed to win any of their last six away games, drawing four and losing two. In each of the last three matches between these sides, the home team has emerged victorious.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Ethiopia v DR Congo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.2 | 3.25 | 1.74 |
|
|
5.67 | 3.34 | 1.75 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.32 | 1.76 |
|
|
6 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.2 | 1.73 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ethiopia and DR Congo?
Our prediction for the Ethiopia vs DR Congo match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Ethiopia and DR Congo in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.88% for a win of Ethiopia against DR Congo with odds of 6 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ethiopia vs DR Congo is 56.99% with odds of 3.34 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.14% chance ⭐ for a win of DR Congo vs Ethiopia with odds of 1.76 at Betwinner.
Ethiopia - DR Congo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ethiopia DR Congo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 56.99% | 3.34 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 72.67% | 1.76 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.52% | 1.45 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 35.59% | 4.1 at LSbet |
Ethiopia vs DR Congo Form
Ethiopia and DR Congo's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +4 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 |
Ethiopia and DR Congo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
14 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
8 Sept 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
21 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
10 Feb 2024 - AFCON
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
17 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sept 2023 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
10 Feb 2024 - AFCON
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
28 Jan 2024 - AFCON
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
Ethiopia - DR Congo Key Points
- Seven of Ethiopia’s last 10 matches in all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Ethiopia have failed to score in six of their last 10 games.
- Nine of DR Congo’s last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- DR Congo have kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches in all competitions.
- DR Congo have failed to score in three of their last five away games.
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Our Ethiopia vs DR Congo Prediction
Ethiopia’s struggles in front of goal continued in their first match of this competition as they failed to manage a single shot on target despite having more possession of the ball across the 90.
It will not get much easier for the Walyas here, against the Leopards, who have only conceded once in their last four matches in all competitions. The first goal in this match could easily end up being the winner. Our Ethiopia vs DR Congo prediction: Under 2.5!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ethiopia DR Congo
| Ethiopia vs DR Congo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia wins | 6 | 6 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.34 | -4.6% |
| DR Congo wins | 1.62 | 1.76 | +8.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 29.9% (1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
