Estonia vs Slovakia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Estonia hosts Slovakia in Nations League Group C1 this week, with the home side looking to make it three games without defeat. Standing in the way of the Sinisargid are Slovakia, who reached the second phase of Euro 2024 in the summer. The Sokoli have won six of their last eleven matches and unsurprisingly our prediction is heavily in their favour for this match.
A 4-1 win over the Faroe Islands and a 1-1 draw with Estonia in the Baltic Cup can’t hide that Estonia have been very poor for a considerable period. Those two results ended a run of six defeats, and they have lost ten of their last 13 matches.
Jurgen Henn has a big task improving his team's fortunes for this competition, especially as they have been drawn into one of the tougher groups in League C.
Along with Sweden, Slovakia are arguably the strongest team in League C in the Nations League as their exploits in the Euros this summer revealed. They were seconds away from defeating England and beat Belgium in that tournament's group stage.
Head coach Francesco Calzona can call upon some very talented players, including skipper Milan Skriniar, midfielders Ondrej Duda and Stanislav Lobotka, and striker Ivan Schranz, who scored three goals for the team at Euro 2024.
On paper, Slovakia is by far the stronger team. They have also never dropped a point against Estonia, winning both previous games between the two teams.
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The Best Betting Odds for Estonia v Slovakia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 4 | 1.45 |
|
|
7 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
|
|
8.03 | 4.03 | 1.52 |
|
|
8.03 | 4.03 | 1.52 |
|
|
6.5 | 4 | 1.51 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.14 | 1.47 |
|
|
7 | 3.85 | 1.52 |
|
|
6.55 | 4.1 | 1.52 |
|
|
6 | 3.95 | 1.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estonia and Slovakia?
Our prediction for the Estonia vs Slovakia match is: Slovakia to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Estonia and Slovakia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.62% for a win of Estonia against Slovakia with odds of 8.03 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estonia vs Slovakia is 20.28% with odds of 4.2 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Slovakia vs Estonia with odds of 1.56 at Tonybet.
Estonia - Slovakia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estonia Slovakia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 58.11% | 1.56 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.35% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Slovakia/Slovakia | 29.35% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
Estonia vs Slovakia Form
Estonia and Slovakia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
Estonia and Slovakia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
12 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Estonia against Slovakia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Estonia - Slovakia Key Points
- Estonia have won one, drawn two and lost nine of their last 12 games.
- Both teams have scored in all of Slovakia's last three games.
- Both teams have scored in five of Estonia's last six matches.
- Slovakia have won on the two previous occasions they played Estonia.
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Our Estonia vs Slovakia Prediction
Our prediction for the Estonia vs, Slovakia Nations League Group C1 match is: Slovakia to win and both teams to score.
Slovakia's first game since their narrow 2-1 loss to England in Euro 2024 is a trip to Estonia, a team they have beaten twice in the past. Estonia may have gone two games unbeaten, but that form is the exception to a dismal run of results. Slovakia are a much stronger team than the home team here and while goals are likely at both ends, Slovakia should win comfortably.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estonia Slovakia
| Estonia vs Slovakia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia wins | 7 | 8 | +14.3% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4 | +2.6% |
| Slovakia wins | 1.5 | 1.45 | -3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Slovakia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 69.0% (2.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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