Tip Eibar - Atletico Madrid
Eibar are down in 13th in La Liga but still have a chance of finishing in the top seven and qualifying for next season's Europa League. They would be a lot closer but for an away record that has produced just one win all season. Their home record is far better though with eight league wins and only three defeats, though they don't play the top two until these final fixtures. Eibar have won two of their last three home league games but lost the other to Real Vallecano who are currently in the relegation zone. Strangely, two of their three home losses have come against sides in the bottom three. Their home games do tend to produce a few goals with five of the last six having over 2.5 goals scored in them.
Atletico Madrid are second in the table but nine points behind Barcelona with only six games to go. Their title hopes faded and just about died when losing at the league leaders on April 6. They have won three of their last four league matches but have lost two of their last three away league matches and three out of four if you add their Champions League loss at Juventus. They have only won six of their 16 away league games and that's cost them dearly this season. A bet on over 2.5 goals is the tip here.
Key points Eibar - Atletico Madrid
Five of the last six Eibar home league games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them
Two of the last four Atletico Madrid games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
Only five of Eibar's 16 home league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Conclusion Eibar - Atletico Madrid
Eibar are relying on their home form if they are to get into the Europa League but they still have to play the top two in the table. Their home performances have been good this season and there's just short of three goals a game in their home league matches. Atletico Madrid haven't had a great season away from home and dropping points here would all but end their extremely slim title hopes. A bet on over 2.5 goals in this game is the tip.
Eibar Atletico Madrid Prediction published on April 17, 2019