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Egypt vs Ethiopia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Egypt
05/09/2025 12:00
Ethiopia

Prediction :

 

Egypt to win to nil

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula in World Cup Predictions

Egypt have a home match against Ethiopia as they seek to move a step closer to qualifying for the 2026 World Cup. This will be a Group A match, and it finds Egypt top of the pool while Ethiopia are fourth. Read on to find our prediction.

The hosts have so far had a great run, only dropping points once. They come into this round unbeaten, with 16 points, five above their nearest challenger, Burkina Faso. In their last two matches, Egypt beat Ethiopia and Sierra Leone.

The mission here is, therefore, to complete a double on Ethiopia after the 2-0 win in the first meeting. They’ve won six of the last 10 outings and only lost once.

Ethiopia, like Egypt, were absent from the CHAN finals and thus missed key preparation games. Their only outing in August was a 3-0 friendly win against DC United.

They needed that, plus their earlier 6-1 win over Djibouti, as they had gone on a winless run earlier. Ethiopia’s last seven matches produced four defeats, and they failed to score in three of them.

Walia Ibex will head to Egypt knowing so well they have to play defensively, if anything, to improve their away record. The visitors have only three wins in the last 12 matches on the road.

In 10 matches against Egypt, Ethiopia managed one win.

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The Best Betting Odds for Egypt v Ethiopia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.17 6.5 23
Betfred
1.14 6.5 21
William Hill
1.18 6 23
Betway
1.15 6.5 21
Unibet
1.16 6.4 15
Check all Egypt vs Ethiopia odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Egypt and Ethiopia?

Our prediction for the Egypt vs Ethiopia match is: Egypt to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Egypt and Ethiopia in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.76% for a win of Egypt against Ethiopia with odds of 1.19 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Egypt vs Ethiopia is 24.46% with odds of 7 at Bwin.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Egypt with odds of 25 at Vbet.

Egypt - Ethiopia Prediction and Best Odds:

Egypt Ethiopia Prediction Probability Odds
Egypt wins 59.76% 1.19 at 22bet
Under 2.5 62.61% 2.08 at Unibet
Both Team To Score 41.67% 3.55 at Betsson
Half-time / Full-time : Egypt/Egypt 30.14% 1.6 at Ladbrokes

Egypt vs Ethiopia Form

Egypt and Ethiopia's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Egypt
Egypt
16 6 5 1 0 12
5
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
6 6 1 3 2 0

Egypt and Ethiopia Last Matches

Egypt
Egypt Last matches
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Egypt
1 :  0
Sierra Leone

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  1
Botswana

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Mauritania
0 :  1
Egypt

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
2 :  0
Mauritania
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Egypt
1 :  0
Sierra Leone

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  1
Botswana

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
2 :  0
Mauritania

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
3 :  0
Cape Verde Isl.

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Egypt
2 :  1
Burkina Faso

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Egypt
2 :  4
Croatia
D D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Cape Verde Isl.
1 :  1
Egypt

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Mauritania
0 :  1
Egypt

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Botswana
0 :  4
Egypt

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  1
Egypt

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Cape Verde Isl.
2 :  2
Egypt
Ethiopia
Ethiopia Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
6 :  1
Djibouti

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  2
Ethiopia

16 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Tanzania

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Guinea

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
4 :  1
Ethiopia
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
6 :  1
Djibouti

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt

16 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Tanzania

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Guinea

9 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
DR Congo

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
2 :  1
Lesotho
L D D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  2
Ethiopia

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
4 :  1
Ethiopia

4 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Tanzania
0 :  0
Ethiopia

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Djibouti
1 :  1
Ethiopia

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  0
Ethiopia

8 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
Ethiopia

Egypt vs Ethiopia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Egypt

67 %

Draw

0 %

Ethiopia

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  2
Egypt

8 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Egypt
1 :  0
Ethiopia

9 Jun 2022 - AFCON

Ethiopia
2 :  0
Egypt
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Egypt vs Ethiopia last Lineups

Egypt

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
Gabaski
3
M. Hany
24
A. Mohamed
6
A. Hegazy
13
A. Fotouh
14
M. Ateya
17
M. Elneny
25
Zizo
5
H. Fathi
19
M. Mohamed
7
M. Trezeguet
9
G. Kebede Gebeto
10
A. Nassir
7
S. Dagnachew
27
D. Hotessa Dukele
12
Y. Endashaw Zewide
8
A. Yohannes
20
R. Yesuf Mohammed
16
Y. Baye
15
A. Tamene
21
A. Tunjo
22
T. Shanko

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ethiopia

Missing players

Egypt
Egypt
Defender

A. Mohamed

Ethiopia
Ethiopia

Egypt - Ethiopia Key Points

  1. Ethiopia have one win in their last 10 meetings with Egypt.
  2. Egypt have never conceded a goal at home against Ethiopia.
  3. Egypt suffered just one defeat in their last 12 matches.
  4. Ethiopia have only three wins in 12 away games.
  5. In three of five home matches, Egypt won to nil.
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Our Egypt vs Ethiopia Prediction

Ethiopia are taking into this match a poor away run. They have struggled on the road and especially when facing Egypt. This will be another of their tough away matches, as they have never won nor scored a goal away against Egypt.

While the Pharaohs are enjoying a good run at home, Ethiopia have lost half of their last 12 outings on the road, while managing just three wins. We expect this trend to continue, and our prediction for Egypt v Ethiopia is for Egypt to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Egypt to win to nil

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Egypt Ethiopia

Egypt vs Ethiopia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Egypt wins 1.27 1.17 -7.9%
Draw 5 6.5 +30.0%
Ethiopia wins 11 23 +109.1%
Latest odds movements:

At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Egypt is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 85.5% (6.7%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Egypt vs. Ethiopia game!

bet365 welcome offer

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Egypt vs Ethiopia Prediction
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