Egypt vs Benin Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions
The official RO16 AFCON draws are out, and Egypt and Benin take the stage on Monday. Egypt remains the heavy favorite. But their draw to Angola on the final day of the group stage leaves you wondering if The Pharaohs will have an easy game against The Cheetahs. Let's get into this match prediction!
Egypt, the nation with the most AFCON titles (7), are on the hunt for another. They've already started this 2025/26 AFCON campaign on a high note after beating Zimbabwe and South Africa, with a draw against Angola to remain undefeated. With 92nd-ranked Benin to beat in the RO16, Egypt will likely already be imagining a quarterfinal place in Morocco.
At least, they'll be determined to make it past the RO16, which is the same stage DR Congo knocked them out of in the last round. However, Benin has been a tricky side to face over the past year. They made it to the knockouts with just one win against Botswana after losing to DR Congo and Senegal. Their WC campaign was even more impressive, finishing just one point off the top in a group with Nigeria and South Africa.
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The Best Betting Odds for Egypt v Benin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4 | 10 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.9 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.35 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.2 | 8.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Egypt and Benin?
Our prediction for the Egypt vs Benin match is: Egypt win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/01/2026 between Egypt and Benin in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.34% for a win of Egypt against Benin with odds of 1.46 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Egypt vs Benin is 21.64% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Benin vs Egypt with odds of 10.5 at Unibet.
Egypt - Benin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Egypt Benin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Egypt wins | 61.34% | 1.46 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.15% | 2.17 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Egypt/Egypt | 27.94% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Egypt vs Benin Form
Egypt and Benin Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Egypt - Benin: Form Analysis
Egypt are still unbeaten, but their form has been somewhat questionable. The Pharaohs drew 0-0 on the last day against Angola, but mostly because they remained their first team after winning qualification by the end of Round 2.
They also had to rely on stopping-time goals from Mo Salah to take all three points against Zimbabwe on the opening day.
Still, Egypt are unbeaten in 17 senior team games outside friends.
In fact, Egypt's last loss for the senior team in a competitive game was to DR Congo at this very stage of the tournament in January 2024. They drew 1-1 on full time before DR Congo edged Egypt 8-7 to reach the quarterfinal.
Benin, meanwhile, have had a crazy run of games up until this stage. The Cheetahs are only here thanks to a crucial 1-0 win over Botswana in Group D.
They lost the other two games and have now lost four of their last five in total, going goalless in all four defeats. Benin did win the three games prior, but is winless in 12 of their last 15 games.
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Egypt against Benin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Egypt & Benin Squad Analysis
The standout man for the Egyptians has been Mohammed Salah, which isn't surprising.
Salah has only played two games and both scored the winning goals in. His 90th-minute victory against Zimbabwe set them up for success, as they only needed a win against South Africa to secure top spot.
Interestingly, Salah's 45th-minute penalty was the game decider as Egypt got a red card two minutes later.
City's Marmoush was also brilliant in the first game, scoring the equalizer that sprang life into The Pharaohs. Marmoush might've had more to his name had the red card not forced coach Hassan to sub him off for a defender.
For The Cheetahs, they all have left-back Yohan Roche to thank for his 28th-minute goal that booked them a place in the RO16. The other standout player for Benin was Oliver Verdon, another defender.
He was crucial in their only win, not just for his five clearances and blocked shots, but also for his contributions in possession. Verdon finished the game with 84 passes and a 95% completion rate.
Most goals and assists
Egypt
Benin
M. Salah
(3 Goals)
M. Attia
(1 Assists)
,
M. Hany
(1 Assists)
,
Zizo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Hamdy
(1 Assists)
,
M. Mohamed
(1 Assists)
Egypt - Benin Key Points
- Egypt have conceded only one goal and kept two clean sheets in this tournament.
- Benin failed to score in two tournament games and in four of their last five games in all competitions.
- The “Both Teams to Score - No” bet has won in all of Benin’s last ten games.
- Egypt have kept a clean sheet in eight of their last nine senior team games outside friendlies.
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Our Egypt vs Benin Prediction
Egypt are on track to win this game. The difference is we're backing them to do so with a clean sheet. They've not only kept their opponent from scoring in eight of their last nine competitive games, but also won seven of those nine games. What's more, Benin is struggling to find the net, after scoring only one goal all tournament.
And when they lose, The Cheetahs tend to do so without a reply, seeing as their last ten losses have been with a clean sheet for the opponent. Hence, our Egypt vs Benin prediction is Egypt win to nil.
Egypt vs Benin - Other Interesting Predictions
Mo Salah scores a goal
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Egypt Benin
| Egypt vs Benin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt wins | 1.42 | 1.42 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4 | -11.1% |
| Benin wins | 8 | 9.5 | +18.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Egypt is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 70.4% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Egypt vs. Benin game!
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Try your luck on this year's AFCON! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
