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21 November 2023 - 18:30 

- Day 6

World - World Cup

Ecuador
VS
Chile

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Ecuador vs Chile Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

 by Joseph King | in World Cup Prediction

Sixth-place Ecuador host a struggling eighth-placed Chile in Quito for the sixth of the 18-match CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 qualifying campaign. Ecuador has been facing an uphill battle from the very start of qualifying after having three points deducted for falsifying a player’s birth documents. Luckily for them, the expanded format of the 2026 World Cup means that the top six teams out of 10 in this region earn an automatic entry to the finals. The team that finishes seventh will contest an intercontinental playoff to determine their fate. Despite the early hole, La Tri have been able to dig themselves out fairly quickly with two wins, two draws and one defeat in their five games so far. Ecuador kicked things off with a 1-0 defeat to defending champions Argentina but have since gone on a four match unbeaten run. Wins over Uruguay and Bolivia were followed up with two consecutive 0-0 draws in their last two outings, the most recent of which came against Venezuela.

Chile are passing through a difficult stretch at the moment. After missing out on both the 2018 and 2022 World Cups, failure to qualify for the world’s biggest tournament a third consecutive time would be an unmitigated disaster. Things aren’t looking good to start out as La Roja have managed just a single win in their first five fixtures. A 0-0 home draw against Paraguay in their last match resulted in former manager Eduardo Berizzo handing in his resignation. It was a particularly ugly result given that Chile had played nearly the entire second half with a man advantage but couldn’t break through. They’ve now failed to score in three of their last four, with their only goals during that stretch coming against rock-bottom Peru. Fans will be hoping for the ‘new manager bounce’ as caretaker Nicolas Cordova takes the reins. However, Chile are heavy underdogs against an Ecuador side that hasn’t lost on home soil in over two years.

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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Chile Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.53 4 6.5
NetBet
1.47 3.65 6.3
Check all Ecuador vs Chile odds
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Who will win the Ecuador vs Chile Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Ecuador and Chile of World Cup on 11/21/23 :

  • There is a probability of 53.1% ⭐ for Ecuador to win this match against Chile ⚽ with odds of 1.53 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 4 which implies a probability of 31.91%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Chile to win the match are about 6.5 at Bet365. That means a probability of 14.99%.

Ecuador - Chile Prediction and Best Odds:

Ecuador vs Chile prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Ecuador  is favoured to win53.1 %1.53
Draw31.91 %4
Chile wins the game14.99 %6.5

Ecuador vs Chile Form

Ecuador and Chile's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Ecuador
Ecuador
8 6 3 2 1 2
8
Chile
Chile
5 6 1 2 3 -4

Ecuador and Chile Last Matches

Ecuador
Ecuador Last matches
W L W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
0 :  0
Ecuador

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Colombia

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Bolivia
1 :  2
Ecuador

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador
2 :  1
Uruguay

7 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Costa Rica
1 :  3
Ecuador
Chile
Chile Last matches
D L D W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.5
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Paraguay

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
3 :  0
Chile

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Chile
2 :  0
Peru

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Colombia

8 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Uruguay
3 :  1
Chile

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Bolivia
0 :  0
Chile

Ecuador against Chile : Head to Head (H2H)

Ecuador

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chile

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

16 Nov 2021 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  2
Ecuador

5 Sep 2021 - World Cup

Ecuador
0 :  0
Chile

21 Jun 2019 - Copa America

Ecuador
1 :  2
Chile
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Missing players

Ecuador
Ecuador
Defender

P. Estupinan

Chile
Chile
Defender

G. Maripan

Ecuador - Chile Key Points

  1. Ecuador have played out two straight 0-0 draws.
  2. Both Chile and Ecuador have seen under 2.5 goals scored in three of the their last five.
  3. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in five of their last eight when playing in Ecuador.
  4. Both sides have had their struggles on the attacking side of the ball and have each failed to find the net in three of their five qualifying matches.
Up to $200 to bet on Ecuador - Chile! 

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Our Ecuador vs Chile Prediction

Ecuador have seemingly rediscovered their defensive form with two consecutive clean sheets after conceding in their first three matches of the campaign. They should fancy their chances against a Chilean side passing through somewhat of a crisis. The visitors are struggling to find the net and won't find things any easier against this stingy La Tri defense. We have the under pegged at closer to 1.50 odds, meaning we see a good bit of value in jumping in at this price. Our Ecuador vs Chile prediction is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Ecuador vs Chile Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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