World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
Ecuador host Argentina in the final matchday of the South American World Cup qualifiers. The home side are fourth in the table with Argentina ten points clear at the top. Both have qualified for the finals. Read our match prediction below.
Ecuador are safely through to next year's finals for the second successive time. They would be second in the table but for having three points deducted from their total. Only two of their 17 qualifiers have been lost, the lowest total of any country. The two losses were away to Argentina and Brazil.
Only seven games have been won by Ecuador. Their 17 games have seen just 18 goals scored with 13 scored and five conceded. Their most recent match produced a goalless draw in Paraguay. That was their fourth successive 0-0.
Argentina are the World Cup holders but still had to go through the qualifying rounds. They have had few problems in qualifying with a dozen wins, two draws and three defeats. Two of the defeats came on the road in Paraguay and Colombia.
Last time out they defeated Venezuela 3-0 at home with Lionel Messi scoring twice.
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of their eight away games and we tip that stat to come up again here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Argentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.8 | 2.63 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.62 | 2.62 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.7 | 2.63 |
|
|
3.35 | 2.63 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Argentina?
Our prediction for the Ecuador vs Argentina match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Ecuador and Argentina in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.91% for a win of Ecuador against Argentina with odds of 3.54 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Argentina is 32.22% with odds of 2.8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Argentina vs Ecuador with odds of 2.75 at Unibet.
Ecuador - Argentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ecuador Argentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 35.91% | 3.54 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.14% | 1.34 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 40.42% | 2.4 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ecuador | 16.89% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Ecuador vs Argentina Form
Ecuador and Argentina's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
38 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
|
2
|
29 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Ecuador and Argentina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sept 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sept 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Ecuador vs Argentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sept 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
3 Jul 2021 - Copa America
8 Oct 2020 - World Cup
Players list
H. Galindez
DefenderJ. Ordonez
J. Yeboah
W. Pacho
P. Hincapie
MidfielderA. Franco
P. Vite
K. Rodriguez
M. Caicedo
ForwardJ. Alcivar
K. Paez
E. Martinez
DefenderN. Molina
N. Tagliafico
L. Balerdi
N. Otamendi
MidfielderA. Mac Allister
G. Lo Celso
F. Mastantuono
ForwardN. Gonzalez
J. Alvarez
J. Foyth
Substitutes
M. Ramirez
G. Valle
DefenderC. Ramirez
F. Torres
MidfielderJ. Alcivar
J. Yeboah
Y. Medina Ortiz
D. Castillo
K. Paez
L. Campana
A. Minda
K. Rodriguez
G. Rulli
W. Benitez
DefenderM. Acuna
J. Foyth
N. Molina
N. Paz
F. Mastantuono
A. Varela
G. Lo Celso
E. Palacios
ForwardJ. Alvarez
F. Lopez
Most goals and assists
Ecuador
Argentina
E. Valencia
(6 Goals)
L. Messi
(7 Goals)
Ecuador - Argentina Key Points
- The last four Ecuador qualifiers have all ended 0-0.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Argentina's eight away qualifiers.
- 17 Ecuador qualifiers have only seen 18 goals scored.
- The reverse fixture saw Argentina win 1-0.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Ecuador vs Argentina Prediction
Only 12 goals have been scored in Ecuador's eight home qualifiers and four of those came in one game. Their most recent match ended in a fourth successive goalless draw and a goalfest is unlikely to be seen here.
Like their opponents, Argentina have already safely made it into the finals and top the table by ten points. Five of their eight away World Cup qualifiers have seen under 2.5 goals in the match, Our Ecuador v Argentina prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ecuador Argentina
| Ecuador vs Argentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins | 3 | 3.2 | +6.7% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 2.8 | -13.8% |
| Argentina wins | 2.3 | 2.6 | +13.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ecuador is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 31.3% (-2.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Ecuador vs. Argentina game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Ecuador and Argentina? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
