World - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
Ecuador host Argentina in the final matchday of the South American World Cup qualifiers. The home side are fourth in the table with Argentina ten points clear at the top. Both have qualified for the finals. Read our match prediction below.
Ecuador are safely through to next year's finals for the second successive time. They would be second in the table but for having three points deducted from their total. Only two of their 17 qualifiers have been lost, the lowest total of any country. The two losses were away to Argentina and Brazil.
Only seven games have been won by Ecuador. Their 17 games have seen just 18 goals scored with 13 scored and five conceded. Their most recent match produced a goalless draw in Paraguay. That was their fourth successive 0-0.
Argentina are the World Cup holders but still had to go through the qualifying rounds. They have had few problems in qualifying with a dozen wins, two draws and three defeats. Two of the defeats came on the road in Paraguay and Colombia.
Last time out they defeated Venezuela 3-0 at home with Lionel Messi scoring twice.
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of their eight away games and we tip that stat to come up again here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Argentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.3 | 3 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.88 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.45 | 2.85 | 2.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Argentina?
Our prediction for the Ecuador vs Argentina match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Ecuador and Argentina in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.72% for a win of Ecuador against Argentina with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Argentina is 32.01% with odds of 3.01 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Argentina vs Ecuador with odds of 2.51 at 22bet.
Ecuador vs Argentina Form
Ecuador and Argentina's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
38 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
|
4
|
26 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
Ecuador and Argentina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Ecuador vs Argentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
3 Jul 2021 - Copa America
8 Oct 2020 - World Cup
Most goals and assists
Ecuador
Argentina
E. Valencia
(5 Goals)
L. Messi
(8 Goals)
Ecuador - Argentina Key Points
- The last four Ecuador qualifiers have all ended 0-0.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Argentina's eight away qualifiers.
- 17 Ecuador qualifiers have only seen 18 goals scored.
- The reverse fixture saw Argentina win 1-0.
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Our Ecuador vs Argentina Prediction
Only 12 goals have been scored in Ecuador's eight home qualifiers and four of those came in one game. Their most recent match ended in a fourth successive goalless draw and a goalfest is unlikely to be seen here.
Like their opponents, Argentina have already safely made it into the finals and top the table by ten points. Five of their eight away World Cup qualifiers have seen under 2.5 goals in the match, Our Ecuador v Argentina prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Ecuador vs. Argentina game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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