Dušan Lajović vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Qualifier Dusan Lajovic has not had a great year on the ATP Tour. He's been going well in the Mutua Madrid Open this week and takes on 22nd seed Arthur Rinderknech in the second round. Read our match prediction below.
The winner will be up against either ninth seed Andrey Rublev or unseeded Vit Kopriva in round three.
Dusan Lajovic is up to 131st in the live rankings (107 below his opponent) but has been as high as 23rd. His best run this year has been a quarter-final in a Challenger Tour event. In eight other tournaments, heis has failed to get past the second round and hasn't since 2024.
This week has seen him win two qualifiers (one going to three sets) and then he defeated Lorenzo Sonego in round one. There has been one previous match against Rinderknech. That was played five years ago on an indoor hard court with Rinderknech winning in three sets.
Arthur Rinderknech has only won seven of his 16 matches played this year. One outdoor hard court quarter-final has been reached in Dubai. On clay, he has been beaten in round two in both Monte Carlo and Munich. Both tournaments saw him beaten by Joao Fonseca.
We tip Rinderknech to win this match.
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Dušan Lajović v Arthur Rinderknech Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.38 | 1.58 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
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2.3 | 1.56 |
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2.3 | 1.56 |
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Who will win the Dušan Lajović vs Arthur Rinderknech Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Dušan Lajović vs Arthur Rinderknech match is: Arthur Rinderknech wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Dušan Lajović vs Arthur Rinderknech game on 24/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Dušan Lajović has a 50.59% chance to win against Arthur Rinderknech according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.44.
- Arthur Rinderknech has a 49.41% probability of winning facing Dušan Lajović ⭐ with odds of 1.6 at Betway.
Dušan Lajović vs Arthur Rinderknech Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Dušan Lajović has a 50.59 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Dušan Lajović | 50.59 % |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 49.41 % |
Dušan Lajović vs Arthur Rinderknech Form
Dušan Lajović and Arthur Rinderknech Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
30 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
29 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
13 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Dušan Lajović - Arthur Rinderknech Key Points
- Rinderknech was a semi-finalist in the Kitzbuhel clay court tournament last year.
- Rinderknech is 107 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- Lajovic hasn't made it past round two of an ATP Tour clay court tournament since 2024.
- Rinderknech won the only previous match between these two players.
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Our Dušan Lajović vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction
Arthur Rinderknech will be glad not to be playing Joao Fonseca. He's been beaten by him in both of his last two clay court tournaments in the past few weeks. His form has been a bit inconsistent this year with only one ATP Tour quarter-final.
That is more than Dusan Lajovic has achieved this year. His only quarter-final appearance this year was on the Challenger Tour. He'd love to get back to the form he showed two years ago on clay with a semi-final in Barcelona. Our Dusan Lajovic v Arthur Rinderknech prediction is Arthur Rinderknech wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
