Derby County vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
29/12/2024 12:45
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Ian John in Championship Predictions

Our next Championship match prediction is a classic encounter with a rich history. Derby County host Leeds United in a game which would have been a top-of-the-league clash in the early 1970s. Can the Rams stop United’s relentless charge towards the Premier League?

A glance at the league table suggests maybe not, but dig a little deeper and the data reveals a more positive outlook for Derby County. Paul Warne’s team have a very good home record and have won their last two at home, scoring six goals and conceding just the one. 

The Rams have six wins at home, with just three losses and they bounced back well from a 2-1 defeat away to Luton to beat West Bromwich Albion 2-1 on Boxing Day in their previous match. 

Leeds recent form is outstanding and it is based on outstanding home form which sees them taking 31 points out of 36 possible at home this season. They have won all their last five at Elland Road and currently sit top of the Championship table.

Away from home though, they have just two wins in their last five games, losing two and drawing the other. On a more positive note, Daniel Farke’s team have won their last two, defeating Oxford 4-0 at home and then Stoke City 2-0 on the road on Boxing Day. 

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Derby County vs Leeds Form

Derby County and Leeds's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Leeds
100 46 29 13 4 +65
19 Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8

Derby County and Leeds Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
West Brom

20 Dec 2024 - Championship

Luton Town
2 :  1
Derby County

13 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
4 :  0
Portsmouth

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Derby County

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

1 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday
D D L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
West Brom

13 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
4 :  0
Portsmouth

1 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield Wednesday

27 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Swansea

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Plymouth

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Hull
L W D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2024 - Championship

Luton Town
2 :  1
Derby County

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Derby County

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Derby County

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Derby County

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Derby County
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Leeds

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Oxford United

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Leeds

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Leeds
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Oxford United

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

27 Nov 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  0
Luton Town

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
QPR

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  0
Plymouth
D L W L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  2
Leeds

14 Dec 2024 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Leeds

30 Nov 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  0
Leeds

24 Nov 2024 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  4
Leeds

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Leeds

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  0
Leeds

Derby County vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

17 %

Draw

17 %

Leeds

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

7 Dec 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

19 Jul 2020 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

21 Sept 2019 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  1
Derby County

15 May 2019 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  4
Derby County

11 May 2019 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Leeds

11 Jan 2019 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Derby County

Derby County against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
2
K. Wilson
35
C. Nelson
12
N. Phillips
20
C. Elder
17
K. Goudmijn
32
E. Adams
19
K. Jackson
18
M. Harness
11
N. Mendez
10
J. Yates
19
Mateo Joseph
29
G. Wilfried
11
B. Aaronson
17
L. Ramazani
22
A. Tanaka
4
E. Ampadu
25
S. Byram
5
P. Struijk
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
1
I. Meslier

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leeds

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

C. Forsyth

S. Bradley

Midfielder

J. Ward

T. Chirewa

M. Harness 73'

Forward

C. Blackett-Taylor

N. Mendez 67'

D. Brown

K. Goudmijn 86'

J. Collins

J. Yates 86'

T. Barkhuizen

K. Jackson 73'

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

K. Darlow

Defender

J. Guilavogui

A. Tanaka 90'

J. Debayo

Midfielder

M. Solomon

L. Ramazani 71'

I. Schmidt

J. Rothwell

Forward

J. Piroe

Mateo Joseph 71'

D. James

G. Wilfried 71'

P. Bamford

B. Aaronson 89'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Suriname J. Piroe (19 Goals)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists) , 
England J. Yates (4 Assists) , 
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)
Best assists
Israel M. Solomon (13 Assists)

Derby County - Leeds Key Points

  1. Derby have lost just three of eleven home games this season (winning seven, drawing two).
  2. Leeds have drawn four of their last eight away league games.
  3. Derby's home record is the ninth-best in the Championship.
  4. Leeds have won just two of their last eight away from home.
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Our Derby County vs Leeds Prediction

Our prediction for the Derby County vs. Leeds United Championship match is: A Draw.

The bookmakers have Leeds United as the big favourites to win this one, given their recent form, but a lot of that has been based on their home performances. Away from home Leeds have been far less impressive, while Derby's home form is strong. Pride Park is not an easy place to get a result, even for the Championship leaders, so the data overall suggests that this may well be a very close contest between the two. 

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Derby County vs Leeds Prediction