England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Two in-form sides square off on Tuesday when Derby County and Hull City clash in matchday 17 action. Hosting this match, Derby starts the week in 17th spot, 10 places behind Hull City. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match. The hosts, Derby, were poor starters to the season, winning just once in their opening 10 league matches. However, they have found their footing and are coming off three straight wins. The most recent was a 3-1 victory against Sheffield United. The Rams have risen away from the drop zone and can afford to play with less pressure, being eight points above. In their last four home matches they haven't tasted defeat, winning twice.
Hull City piled on Norwich’s woes in the last game as they propelled their own ambitions with a 2-0 win. Only two sides have managed 13 points in the last five matchdays—Millwall and Hull City. This run places the Tigers in a strong position as far as the top six is concerned. At the moment they are locked out of it by goal difference. History doesn’t favor the visitors, though. They have failed to beat Derby in the last five meetings, losing four. However, Hull has the momentum, coming into this match without a loss in six, and they won four of those matches. Their last two away games ended in wins, a good recovery after failing to win any of the earlier five.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Hull Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Hull?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Hull match is: Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/11/2025 between Derby County and Hull in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.03% for a win of Derby County against Hull with odds of 2.2 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Hull is 37.59% with odds of 3.4 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Hull vs Derby County with odds of 3.5 at Betfred.
Derby County - Hull Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Hull Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.59% | 3.4 at Bwin |
| Under 2.5 | 58.63% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.46% | 5 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Hull Form
Derby County and Hull's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
|
10
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Derby County and Hull Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
Derby County vs Hull Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
8 Sept 2017 - Championship
Derby County against Hull Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
C. Nelson
O. Beck
M. Johnston
MidfielderL. Thompson
L. Travis
E. Matazo
N. Tinsdale
J. Lundstram
K. Palmer
ForwardM. Belloumi
O. McBurnie
L. Millar
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Hull
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
J. Gelhardt
(7 Goals)
, 
O. McBurnie
(7 Goals)
P. Agyemang
(3 Assists)
,
J. Ward
(3 Assists)
R. Giles
(5 Assists)
Derby County - Hull Key Points
- Hull City failed to win in five of their last seven away matches.
- Derby won just twice in their last 10 home matches.
- Five of Derby’s last eight outings ended in either draws or losses.
- Both these sides lost twice in the last 10 matches.
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Our Derby County vs Hull Prediction
While these two sides carry solid runs into this game, neither team seems to have a clear advantage over the other if recent form is the yardstick. Each of them has lost twice in the last 10 matches, and we feel this will be an evenly fought battle.
Two wins in the last two home matches for Derby and two in as many away matches for Hull City point to these sides coming here on a rather similar slate. Our prediction for Derby County v Hull City is a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Hull
| Derby County vs Hull | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.2 | 2.05 | -6.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
| Hull wins | 3.05 | 3.4 | +11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 30.3% (0.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Derby County vs. Hull game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Derby County and Hull when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
