Tip Derby County - Fulham
Derby County hosts Fulham in the 34th round of matches in the Championship this weekend and as they march to the match, they are separated by 12 points. Fulham are fourth with 56 points while Derby are 13th with 44 points. Both sides have ceded some considerable ground in the Championship in the last two match days. Derby have dropped five points from a possible six with a loss to Bristol City and a draw with Huddersfield Town. Meanwhile, Fulham have also dropped five points in their last two league matches, having drawn with Millwall and lost to Barnsley. Before losing to Bristol, Derby had established a good run, winning three straight matches; they recovered a bit in their last game as they drew with Huddersfield but they will feel let down after failing to hold on to the lead for the last nine minutes. The late concession meant Derby have conceded in each of their last four matches. One clean sheet in their last six matches doesn’t paint a very good picture of their defence and they will want to improve on that here. They have conceded two or more goals in four of their last six matches. They however have a better run at home, having gone unbeaten in six matches, winning five. In fact, Derby have one loss in the last 16 home matches, while the entire 18 home games this season, they have lost just two and won 10. They have scored less than two goals in six of their last nine Championship matches at home. In 17 league matches at home, they have failed to score in just two. Derby have lost twice in a row to Fulham but the London side has won just once in seven visits to Derby County.
Fulham, on their part, will want to very quickly forget about their last match; they were completely outplayed by bottom side Barnsley, and handed a 3-0 beating at home. They will approach this match with the main consolation being the three wins in four meetings they have managed against Derby. However, Derby’s home form should be a concern for Fulham. In their last five matches, Fulham have conceded two or more goals in three, casting a dark shadow on their defensive discipline. While the loss to Manchester City in the FA Cup was expected, conceding five goals against two teams in the bottom four of the Championship really brings to focus the defensive discipline, now that they are promotion contenders. In their last 11 matches, Fulham have managed to score more than a goal on just two occasions. They have just two wins in their last eight away matches and there as well, they have been short in attack, scoring more than once in just one of the eight matches. They are unbeaten in the last five Championship away matches, though with just two wins. They have actually win twice in the last seven away matches in the Championship.
Key points Derby County - Fulham
Fulham are unbeaten in their last five away Championship matches.
Fulham have scored more than one goal in just two of the last 11 matches.
Derby County have scored in 15 of 17 Championship matches at home.
Derby County are unbeaten in six matches at home.
Fulham have three wins in the last four matches against Derby County.
Conclusion Derby County - Fulham
Both Fulham and Derby are seeking to bounce back after bad outings in their previous two matches. Fulham are seeking to stay in the playoff bracket, while Derby hope to get into the top half as they push for another appearance in the playoffs. At home, Derby have done well, unlike in their away travails. They however meet a Fulham side that has been fairly good away from home. One factor though is that these sides have not been scoring a lot lately. Derby have scored less than two goals in six of their last nine Championship matches at home while Fulham have scored more than one goal in just two of the last 11 matches. We thus do not expect a plenty of goals here, and we will go for a 1-1 draw.
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Derby County Fulham Prediction published on February 19, 2020