England - Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath in Championship Predictions
Bristol City will put their unbeaten record in the 2025-26 Championship season on the line on Friday when they travel to Pride Park to face Derby County. The Rams are in 22nd place, while the Robins are in fourth place after the first two gameweeks. Let's get into the match prediction.
Derby County will be hoping to steer clear of the drop this season after spending the majority of last term flirting with relegation and finishing just a single point above the bottom three.
However, the Rams have not begun this season well at all. They shipped five goals in their 5-3 defeat to Coventry last week and have conceded eight in just two games this term - the most of any team in the division.
Last season, the hosts earned 32 points from their 23 home games (W9 D5 L9). However, they have failed to win any of their last four league games at this venue and also failed to score in three of those matches.
Meanwhile, the 2024-25 season was an excellent one for Bristol. In fact, with 68 points and a sixth-place finish, it was their best campaign since promotion to the second tier in 2014-15.
The Robins have started this season positively as well, beating Sheffield United 4-1 in their opening fixture before playing out a goalless draw against Charlton this past week.
However, despite their achievements, the visitors struggled for victories in away games last season, winning only four of 24 league outings (W4 D10 L10).
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Bristol City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3.25 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.1 | 2.63 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.75 | 3 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Bristol City?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Bristol City match is: Bristol City draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2025 between Derby County and Bristol City in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.28% for a win of Derby County against Bristol City with odds of 3 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Bristol City is 24.26% with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Bristol City vs Derby County with odds of 2.63 at Betfred.
Derby County vs Bristol City Form
Derby County and Bristol City's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
|
22
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
Derby County and Bristol City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 May 2025 - Championship
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2025 - Championship
28 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Bristol City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
12 Feb 2020 - Championship
27 Apr 2019 - Championship
Derby County vs Bristol City last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
C. Nelson
S. Langas
K. Wilson
ForwardL. Salvesen
C. Blackett-Taylor
M. O'Leary
DefenderL. McNally
C. Pring
MidfielderJ. Williams
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Bristol City
C. Morris
(2 Goals)
S. Twine
(2 Goals)
R. McCrorie
(1 Assists)
,
S. Twine
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Riis
(1 Assists)
Derby County - Bristol City Key Points
- Derby has conceded eight goals in two league matches this season.
- Derby are winless in their last four home league games.
- Derby failed to score in three of their last four home league games.
- Bristol are unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions.
- Bristol has won three of their last four matches against this opponent.
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Our Derby County vs Bristol City Prediction
It may only be two games into this season, but we have already seen one glaring concern regarding Derby, and that is their tendency to concede late in games.
So far, the Rams have shipped eight goals this season, six of which have come in the last 20 minutes of matches. While Bristol's away record was not incredible last season, they have started the current campaign positively, and we feel they may be able to edge the result in this one. Our Derby County vs Bristol City prediction is Bristol City draw no bet.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Derby County vs. Bristol City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Derby County and Bristol City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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