Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP French Open Predictions
Round one of the indoor hard court Paris Masters will see 14th seed Brandon Nakashima take on unseeded Matteo Berrettini. Nakashima recently beat Berrettini in the Shanghai Masters in two close sets. Our prediction here is that Nakashima will again get the win.
Unseeded opposition will be met in round two, either Botic van de Zandschulp or Ugo Humbert.
In the live rankings, Nakashima is in 18th position, that's 25 places above Berrettini. The American has played seven indoor hard court matches this year, winning four of them. He was a quarter-finalist in Lyon last month, but lost to Flavio Cobolli and then Tallon Griekspoor in Vienna.
A win here will be his first in this tournament after three losses in round one. Berrettini's never won here either.
He's 1-1 in previous meetings with Berrettini. This is their first indoor hard court match.
It's four years since Berrettini beat Nakashima in the Australian Open. Last week saw him reach the quarter-finals in Vienna, though his win over fellow Italian Flavio Cobolli in round two came through retirement. He was eventually beaten in the last eight by Alex de Minaur.
Three of his last five matches have been lost, including that defeat to Nakashima in Shanghai.
He has a 2-2 record on this surface in 2026.
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Brandon Nakashima v Matteo Berrettini Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
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1.65 | 2.26 |
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1.66 | 2.27 |
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1.65 | 2.25 |
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1.65 | 2.25 |
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1.62 | 2.30 |
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Who will win the Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini match is: Brandon Nakashima wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini game on 02/11/2026 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Brandon Nakashima has a 56.18% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.66.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 43.82% probability of winning facing Brandon Nakashima ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at 22bet.
Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Brandon Nakashima has a 56.18 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | 56.18 % |
| Matteo Berrettini | 43.82 % |
Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Brandon Nakashima and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
23 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
22 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
20 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
11 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
30 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
26 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
20 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
7 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
16 Jan 2022 - ATP Australian Open
Brandon Nakashima - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Nakashima is 25 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- Nakashima beat Berrettini recently in the outdoor hard court tournament played in Shanghai.
- Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches.
- Berrettini's one win over Nakashima was achieved four years ago.
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Our Brandon Nakashima vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
Neither of these players has ever won a match in the Paris Masters, so who will get their maiden victory? Brandon Nakashima is the higher ranked player of the two in both the live rankings and the ATP Race. He won their most recent match played in Shanghai last month.
Matteo Berrettini was a quarter-finalist in Vienna last month. Side bets on a tie-break or this match going to a deciding set may well be successful. Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. Our Brandon Nakashima v Matteo Berrettini prediction is Brandon Nakashima wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.