Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Betting Tips - Dallas Open
ATP - Dallas Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Denis Shapovalov continues his bid to retain the Dallas Open title. The 2025 champion is seeded seventh in this indoor hard court tournament and takes on third seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Here's our match prediction.
Shapovalov would make history if he does win this weekend's final. No player has managed to successfully defend this title. The Canadian is playing only his third tournament of the year and had only won one match in 2026 before this week.
He's had victories over qualifier Rafael Jodar and unseeded Aleksandar Kovacevic. No sets have been dropped with only 11 games lost. He's 1-1 in previous meetings with his opponent but this is their first indoor hard court match.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is one win away from his second semi-final of the year. The Spaniard reached that stage in Adelaide last month. This is his first tournament since being beaten by Tommy Paul in the Australian Open. He only won a couple of games in the first two sets before retiring with an injury.
Back fit again, the 26-year-old has so far defeated qualifier Zachary Svajda and unseeded Alex Michelsen and is yet to drop a set. Davidovich Fokina has now won six of his nine matches this year and is 15th in the live rankings, 21 ahead of Shapovalov.
We tip Davidovich Fokina to win.
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Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.7 | 2.15 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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|
1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.68 | 2.08 |
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1.68 | 2.08 |
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Who will win the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 13/02/2026 of the current Dallas Open season:
- Denis Shapovalov has a 37.74% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.75.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 62.26% probability of winning facing Denis Shapovalov ⭐ with odds of 2.15 at Melbet.
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Denis Shapovalov has a 37.74 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | 37.74 % |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 62.26 % |
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form
Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
12 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
10 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
9 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
15 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
28 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points
- Davidovich Fokina won the most recent meeting played last year.
- Davidovich Fokina is 21 places above Shapovalov in the live rankings.
- Excluding retirements, Davidovich Fokina has won his last four matches.
- Davidovich Fokina has won eight of his last ten indoor hard court matches.
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Our Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
Is the Dallas Open title regn of Denis Shapovalov about to come to an end? He hadn't played a great deal before this tournament with just one win in three matches. Both of his wins this week have come in straight sets but no seeded opposition has been faced.
That all changes as the Canadian now takes on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The Spaniard is attempting to reach his second ATP Tour semi-final of the year and looks to be over his injury. Our Denis Shapovalov v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
