Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 84 Spain
Daniel Merida
25/04/2026 13:05
ATP 39 France
Corentin Moutet

Prediction :

 

Daniel Merida Aguilar wins a set

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Corentin Moutet is seeded 26th for the Mutua Madrid Open but is playing in round two for the first time. He takes on qualifier Daniel Merida in this outdoor clay court tournament. Time to read our match prediction.

Moutet received a bye into round two this year. The Frenchman has won three clay court matches this year but lost the same number. Each of his three clay court tournaments this year have seen him win his opening match but then be knocked out in the next round.

He is 30th in the live rankings so may well be seeded at the upcoming French Open.

Daniel Merida had never won a  main draw match in this tournament before this year. His one previous appearance was in 2022 when he was beaten in the qualifying rounds. He got through them this year beating Matco Trungelliti in his second match.

Trungelliti was then reinstated as a lucky loser and he again lost to the Spaniard in round one, this time in three sets.

Merida has won ten of his 13 clay court matches this year. He won a Challenger Tour title and then rreached the final of the ATP Bucharest tournament.  He's a career-high 86th in the live rankings. We tip him to win a set in tnis match.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Daniel Merida v Corentin Moutet Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.65 1.49
Betwinner
2.68 1.48
Bet365
2.63 1.5
Roobet
2.54 1.47
BC Game
2.54 1.47
Check all Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet odds

Who will win the Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet match is: Daniel Merida wins a set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet game on 25/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Daniel Merida has a 51.12% chance to win against Corentin Moutet according to LSbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.69.
  • Corentin Moutet has a 48.88% probability of winning facing Daniel Merida ⭐ with odds of 1.5 at Bet365.

Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniel Merida has a 51.12 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Daniel Merida51.12 %
Corentin Moutet48.88 %

Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet Form

Daniel Merida and Corentin Moutet Last Matches

Daniel Merida Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

23 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Marco Trungelliti
1 :  2
Daniel Merida

21 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Marco Trungelliti
0 :  2
Daniel Merida

20 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Billy Harris
0 :  2
Daniel Merida

12 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Ethan Quinn
2 :  0
Daniel Merida

11 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Francesco Maestrelli
0 :  2
Daniel Merida

5 Apr 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Mariano Navone
2 :  1
Daniel Merida
Corentin Moutet Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Ignacio Buse
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Corentin Moutet
2 :  0
Alexandre Muller

3 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Marco Trungelliti

1 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Corentin Moutet
2 :  0
Taha Baadi
Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Daniel Merida - Corentin Moutet Key Points

  1. Merida has won a set in 12 of his last 13 clay court matches.
  2. On all surfaces, Merida has only failed to win a set in three of his last 24 matches.
  3. Moutet has lost a set in six of his last nine matches.
  4. Moutet has never won a match in this tournament.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Daniel Merida vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

It's been a successful time for Daniel Merida on clay in the past month. One Challenger Tour title has been landed and he then won six matches before being beaten in the ATP Bucharest final.

He takes on Corentin Moutet who is seeded but has a poor record in this tournament and has made a slow start to this season. He's 3-3 on clay and 8-9 overall.. Our Daniel Merida v Corentin Moutet prediction is Daniel Merida Aguilar wins a set.

Prediction :

 

Daniel Merida Aguilar wins a set

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Get a retirement guarantee for the Daniel Merida vs. Corentin Moutet game!

bet365 2 goals ahead early payout

When you place a bet on the match between Daniel Merida and Corentin Moutet you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Daniel Merida or Corentin Moutet, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.