Czechia vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Czechia need a win against Mexico on matchday three to stay in contention for progression to the knockouts from Group A on Wednesday night local time in Mexico City. The co-hosts 'El Tri' are already guaranteed to finish top of the group irrespective of this result, thanks to their head-to-head record against South Korea. With qualification on the line in this match, will the 'Representatives' stay in contention by improving against Mexico?
With only one point (D1, L1), Czechia are third in the group and need a win to improve their position or at least stay in contention to be among the eight best-ranked third-placed teams.
Mexico (W2) are top of the group ahead of this round and are already guaranteed to finish first irrespective of the result here. Even if they lose, only South Korea can match their tally of six points, but as Mexico have already defeated them, they will finish top. Does that open the door for Czechia to pick up a surprise win? Dig deep into our match predictions along with our analysis and team news.
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Czechia v Mexico Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.45 | 4.11 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.48 | 3.98 | 1.73 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.84 | 1.89 |
|
|
4.05 | 3.94 | 1.91 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Czechia and Mexico?
Our prediction for the Czechia vs Mexico match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/06/2026 between Czechia and Mexico in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.41% for a win of Czechia against Mexico with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Czechia vs Mexico is 26.79% with odds of 4.11 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Mexico vs Czechia with odds of 1.98 at Betsson.
Czechia - Mexico Prediction and Best Odds:
| Czechia Mexico Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 43.8% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 50.48% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mexico | 18.74% | 5.3 at Betsson |
Czechia vs Mexico Form
Czechia and Mexico's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 |
|
4
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
Czechia and Mexico Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
11 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
11 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
22 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
11 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
22 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
18 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
20 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
Czechia - Mexico: Form Analysis
Czechia conceded a late penalty to draw 1-1 and complicated their chances of progression. That result kept three teams in contention for two qualification places, leaving the 'Representatives' to go all out for a win here.
Lack of wins could be Czechia's problem here, as they could win only two of their last six matches within 90 minutes (W2, D3, L1). Their wins in this sequence have come against teams that failed to qualify for the World Cup – Guatemala and Kosovo – putting question marks over their chances here.
Czechia's last six matches have all seen goals from both teams.
Mexico became the first team to book their place in the round of 32 at this World Cup when they defeated South Korea 1-0. It wasn't an attractive game, with Mexico producing just 0.53 expected goals (xG) compared to South Korea's 0.91.
That game marked a 13th consecutive match in the World Cups that Mexico finished the first half without conceding a goal. Having kept four clean sheets while winning their last five games, Mexico are showing signs of translating that into more defensive success.
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Czechia against Mexico Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
L. Hornicek
J. Stanek
DefenderD. Zima
S. Chaloupek
J. Zeleny
MidfielderH. Sochurek
A. Sojka
V. Darida
L. Provod
T. Soucek
J. Kuchta
M. Chytil
T. Chory
P. Schick
C. Acevedo
G. Ochoa
J. Vasquez
J. Gallardo
E. Lira
B. Gutierrez
O. Vargas
A. Fidalgo
O. Pineda
L. Chavez
ForwardA. Gonzalez
C. Huerta
S. Gimenez
A. Vega
R. Jimenez
Missing players
D. Jurasek
Czechia & Mexico Squad Analysis
Czechia have lined up in a 3-4-3 formation against South Korea with Patrik Schick playing slightly ahead as the lone striker. Having avoided any major injuries against South Africa last time out, the 'Representatives' have no problems in selecting their first choice.
Schick is yet to show any impact in this tournament, while his last goal came against Guatemala in the last preparatory friendly. Ladislav Krejci has had an engaging tournament so far, scoring against South Korea and then getting booked against South Africa.
Mexico won three consecutive World Cup matches for the first time!
That's largely due to their effective defensive performances, as Mexico limited South Africa to 0.07 expected goals (xG) and South Korea to 0.91. Center back Johan Vasquez has been in impressive form, with a passing accuracy of 93%, helping build from the back.
Mexico are likely to stick to their 4-1-4-1 system with veteran forward Raul Jimenez likely to start as the striker. The presence of Julian Quinones on the wings could be an exciting option, although he's yet to complete a full game in this tournament.
Most goals and assists
Czechia
Mexico
L. Krejci
(1 Goals)
,
M. Sadilek
(1 Goals)
J. Quinones
(4 Goals)
V. Coufal
(1 Assists)
,
A. Sojka
(1 Assists)
R. Alvarado
(3 Assists)
Czechia - Mexico Key Points
- Czechia’s last six matches have seen BTTS during regulation time.
- Czechia have scored in their last nine matches within 90 minutes.
- Mexico scored in 10 of their last 11 matches.
- Czechia won 2-1 in 2000, the only time these two sides met.
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Our Czechia vs Mexico Prediction
Mexico are making the most of home support and have become the first team to reach the knockouts in this World Cup. Their defensive capabilities are leading the plot for 'El Tri', who have kept eight clean sheets in their last ten matches. That could be tested by a Czechia side that remained a strong threat on set pieces.
Czechia have everything to lose if they are defeated here, while a win could push them towards knockouts. That could push them to at least test Mexico's defensive strengths, so our Czechia vs Mexico prediction is BTTS.
Czechia vs Mexico Alternative Predictions
Mexico wins
Can Czechia rise to the occasion and stop the Mexicans? Playing at high altitudes is also considered to be one of the reasons for Mexico's success, while the confidence of eight wins out of ten gives them momentum. Back Mexico to continue that run.
Raul Jimenez to Score Anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Czechia Mexico
| Czechia vs Mexico | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia wins | 3.55 | 4.8 | +35.2% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 4.11 | +26.5% |
| Mexico wins | 2.07 | 1.98 | -4.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mexico is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.3% and is now 50.5% (2.2%)
Czechia vs Mexico - FAQs
The Czechia vs Mexico World Cup match will be shown live on CT, TV Nova in Czechia, while TV Azteca and TelevisaUnivision are the official broadcasters in Mexico. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
