Tour de France 2025 Predictions & Betting tips
Tour de France 2025 presentation and prediction
Do you like betting on cycling? Is cycling your passion? Then get ready to make your predictions for the Tour de France 2025! From July 5 to July 27, the best cyclists in the world will be criss-crossing France in their quest for the yellow jersey.
After last year's win by Slovenian Tadej Pogacar, the Vingegaards and Evenepoels will be battling it out right to the end in this 112th edition of the great race.
So who is the favourite for the Tour de France 2025? How can the stages of the Tour be predicted? What is the route? Who can win today's stage? We tell you everything on our page 100% dedicated to Tour de France predictions.
Winner prediction: who will win the Tour de France 2025?
After Jonas Vingegaard's double victory between 2022 and 2023, Tadej Pogacar took over the reins of the event last year, winning his 3rd Tour de France. The 26-year-old genius is once again THE favourite for this 112th edition of the Grande Boucle and has some solid arguments to put forward. 17 times stage winner in the Tour de France, 3 times champion, and in top form in 2025 (winner of the Strade Bianche, Tour of Flanders, Flèche Wallonne, Liège-Bastogne-Liège...), the Slovenian rider intends to take all the titles in his path. As a result, he is logically at the top of the bookmakers' odds table, followed by other big names in cycling today (Vingegaard, Evenepoel, Roglic, etc.).
So it's the huge Tadej Pogacar, winner of the Tour in 2020, 2021 and 2024, who gives the most confidence for your Tour de France 2025 prediction. The UAE rider is accompanied by some great talents once again this year (Adam Yates, Joao Almeida, Juan Ayuso...) to make a difference to the other teams. Absent from the Giro d'Italia, Pogacar has every intention of shining at the 2025 Tour de France, and your bets should be on him. Our Tour de France 2025 prediction: Tadej Pogacar wins!
Tour de France prediction - The odds on the favourites for the Tour de France 2025
- Tadej Pogacar - 1.40
- Jonas Vingegaard - 3.00
- Remco Evenepoel - 13.00
- Joao Almeida - 19.00
- Primoz Roglic - 29.00
- Florian Lipowitz - 29.00
- Matteo Jorgenson - 41.00
- Simon Yates - 101.00
- Richard Carapaz - 101.00
- Carlos Rodríguez - 151.00
Odds taken from bet365. Take advantage of the nice bonus offered by these bookmakers in June 2025 to bet on the Tour de France.
Tour de France 2025 route: the detailed route
The 2025 Tour de France offers an ideal route for sports betting. Crossing France, after starting in Lille, the Grande Boucle offers 21 stages, each more interesting than the last. After finishing in Nice in the previous edition (because of the Olympic Games), the Champs-Élysées are back this year and the finish will be in Paris, as usual.
The 2025 Tour de France will feature a total of 7 flat stages, 6 hilly stages, 6 mountain stages (5 of which will finish at altitude), 2 individual time trial stages and 2 rest days. Enough to please every cycling fan, and to give all riders a chance to shine on their bikes.
Beginner punters - How does the Tour de France de Cyclisme work?
The Tour de France is a cycling race held every summer in France. Divided into 21 stages, it sees the world's best riders attempt to win one or more stages, wear the leader's yellow jersey, try to win the points and the Tour de France General Classification (GC).
For three weeks, the eyes of the world will be on the most beautiful landscapes in France: mountains, plains, massifs, towns... a route that will call on a whole range of skills in the various competitors. At the end of the 21 stages of the race, the rider who finishes with the best overall time is declared the winner of the Tour de France de Cyclisme.
Tour de France classification: how are they calculated?
There are several classification in the Tour de France, but the only one of considerable importance is the individual classification. This is the one that determines the race's yellow jersey and the overall winner.
This individual classification is determined by the accumulation of times achieved by each rider during the various stages of the race. At the end of the race, the rider who finishes the Tour in the shortest time is declared the winner of the Tour de France.
In addition to this individual classification, there is also a points classification that awards the green jersey, also known as the sprinter's jersey. It rewards the rider who finishes the stages in first place the most times.
There is also the best climber classification, with its famous polka-dot jersey, which rewards the best rider on the various climbs. On the various passes, points are awarded to the first riders to reach the summit, depending on the category of the climb and the order in which they pass (points are awarded to the eighth rider to reach the summit if the pass is outside the category).
Finally, a white jersey also exists in the Tour de France and rewards the rider aged 25 or under best placed in the general classification, as does a red bib which rewards the rider judged to have fought hardest in the previous stage. A team classification is also drawn up, combining the times of all the riders in a team.
How can I make reliable Tour de France predictions?
To predict the Tour de France in the manner of an expert, you need to apply good practice throughout the race. Here are the factors on which our cycling specialists base their predictions during each stage of the Grande Boucle:
- Take into account the nature of the stage
- Consider the weather conditions
- The location of the stage
- Look at the different rankings
- Take into account the riders' last stage
By taking an interest in these 5 parameters of a Tour de France stage, your analysis will be all the better and so will your chances of winning your bet. See the following paragraphs for even more explanations.
Take into account the nature of the stage
The first thing you need to do to make a good prediction on a stage of the Tour de France is... to know what that stage is. Don't be fooled, and don't bet on the best rider on paper: stars like Pogacar are not going to win every stage of the Tour!
You absolutely must know whether the day's stage is mountainous, flat, hilly or even an individual time trial. This will give you an indication of which riders are most likely to shine (a sprinter won't be able to do much on a mountain stage, whereas he'll be at an advantage on the flat).
Take the weather conditions into account
As well as knowing the nature of the day's stage, you need to take an interest in the forecast weather conditions. Is it going to rain? Are there likely to be high temperatures? What is the air quality like if the riders have to pass through town? These are just some of the questions that need to be answered to give you the best chance of success.
If, for example, a thunderstorm is forecast, or even strong gusts of wind, be wary, because accidents can happen, as can a certain amount of caution on the part of the riders announced as favourites. This weather has already played tricks on the various cyclists in the Grande Boucle. And to punters too.
Take into account the location of the stage
The third criterion to analyse in order to make an accurate stage prediction is the location of the day's race. Here, it's mainly historical data that you need to look for. Take an interest not only in the French riders (are they from the region, in which case you can be sure of an attack), but also in their performances in the locality.
A rider who has won a similar stage in a previous Tour de France, for example, and in the same département, will be one to watch with the utmost attention. This stat is really something to take into account on a daily basis.
Take into account the different rankings
Our fourth piece of advice is to take into account the different rankings in the Tour de France. As well as the individual general classification, which remains the most important, take an interest in the points classification, the best climber classification, the best young rider classification and the team classification. They will systematically give you an indication of what is at stake for each rider, and therefore of their motivation / need to perform on the day's stage.
For example, if a rider is in the race for the polka-dot jersey (best climber), expect him to be in the battle if the day's stage consists of several passes. In the same spirit, keep a close eye on the sprinters who are well placed in the points classification if the day's stage is more flat. They will all be more determined to succeed.
Don't forget that on certain stages, the favourites for overall winner in the Tour de France will be looking above all not to lose time on their main rivals. The cyclists to follow will therefore be those who have the greatest interest in placing themselves on the day's route.
Take into account the riders' final stage
Finally, you should also take into account the very last stage completed by the riders you want to bet on. Did they have to work harder than expected? Or were they content to maintain their lead in the standings without drawing too heavily on their physical reserves? In short: are they fresh or physically exhausted?
By finding an initial answer to this question, you'll always have a clearer idea of the capabilities of the riders you're interested in. Never forget this before predicting a stage of the Tour 2025.
Things to avoid when making your Tour de France predictions
To avoid jeopardising your chances of making a successful prediction on the Tour de France 2025, there are a few pitfalls to avoid when betting. Here's what our cycling experts tell you not to do when making your Tour de France prediction:
- Not studying the stage
- Betting solely on a rider's prestige
- Failing to take into account the composition of the cycling teams
- Not taking an interest in what is at stake in the stage
- Betting only on the small odds offered by bookmakers
- Taking advantage of boosted odds without any analysis
By avoiding these 6 pitfalls and following the 5 tips given above, you should be able to maximise your chances of success when betting on the Tour de France 2025. Not to be underestimated!
In short: how do you predict the Tour de France?
To sum up, it's essential to know every stage in detail before predicting a day of the Tour de France. While there's a certain logic to determining the overall winner (full line-up, maximum support for team riders, experience of the race, etc.), predicting the winner of a day's stage remains difficult every year in the Grande Boucle.
That's why you shouldn't hesitate for a moment to follow the daily predictions of our cycling specialists. For each stage, they give you their feelings and opinions on the potential winner of the day. It's now up to you to make the most of your sports bets with the various online bookmakers. And if you like sport in general, take a look at our sports predictions for all sports.
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Tour de France 2025 : Frequently Asked Questions
Since the Tour de France was founded in 1903, 64 riders have won the race. The most successful include Miguel Indurain, Bernard Hinault, Eddy Merckx and Jacques Anquetil (5 wins each). The most recent winners include Christopher Froome (2015-2016-2017), Geraint Thomas (2018), Egan Bernal (2019), Tadej Pogacar (2020-2021-2024) and Jonas Vingegaard (2022-2023).
