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by Kennedy Kechula | in World Cup Predictions
Croatia will be looking to close in on another World Cup appearance this Sunday, when they host Gibraltar in a Group L qualification match. The hosts top the pool with 13 points, while Gibraltar, at the bottom, have no points yet. We have a prediction for the match below.
Croatia failed to close in on the 2026 finals last Thursday when they drew 0-0 away to second-placed Czech Republic.
That result ended Croatia’s perfect run in the qualifiers, but they have a game in hand, and thus the advantage, even as they are tied on points with the Czech Republic.
The only competitive match between these two nations yielded seven goals, all scored by Croatia in the away leg of this encounter. As Gibraltar head to Zagreb for this match, they will be keen on avoiding another heavy defeat.
They, however, lack any motivation apart from pride to fight for in this game.
This will be the third time they face Croatia, and in the first two, they conceded a total of 11 goals without response. In four of their last five matches as well, they failed to score.
The whipping boys in Group L, Gibraltar, have conceded 17 goals and have a -15 goal difference.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Croatia v Gibraltar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 26 | 71 |
|
|
1 | 67 | 67 |
|
|
1.01 | 41 | 91 |
|
|
1 | 61 | 126 |
|
|
1.01 | 20 | 41 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Croatia and Gibraltar?
Our prediction for the Croatia vs Gibraltar match is: Croatia to win and over 4.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2025 between Croatia and Gibraltar in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 82.84% for a win of Croatia against Gibraltar with odds of 1.02 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Croatia vs Gibraltar is 17.03% with odds of 71 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 0.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Gibraltar vs Croatia with odds of 201 at Bwin.
Croatia - Gibraltar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Croatia Gibraltar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Croatia wins | 82.84% | 1.02 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.59% | 1.06 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 5.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Croatia/Croatia | 42.3% | 1.13 at Ladbrokes |
Croatia vs Gibraltar Form
Croatia and Gibraltar's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
|
5
|
0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -25 |
Croatia and Gibraltar Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
Croatia vs Gibraltar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Croatia against Gibraltar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Croatia
Gibraltar
A. Kramaric
(6 Goals)
L. Jessop
(1 Goals)
,
J. Scanlon
(1 Goals)
,
D. Bent
(1 Goals)
Croatia - Gibraltar Key Points
- Croatia scored 11 times in their two meetings with Gibraltar.
- Croatia’s last two home matches had 10 goals scored.
- Gibraltar are coming off seven straight defeats.
- Croatia won four of their last five matches.
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Our Croatia vs Gibraltar Prediction
Gibraltar have not just been the weakest team in Group L of these qualifiers; they have also been conceding heavily. They come into this game off the back of seven straight defeats, yet they meet the group leaders, who have four wins in the last five matches.
In the first meeting with Croatia, Gibraltar suffered a 7-0 defeat, and away to Croatia, they are staring at another potentially heavy loss. Our prediction for Croatia v Gibraltar is for Croatia to win and over 4.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Croatia Gibraltar
| Croatia vs Gibraltar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia wins | 1.02 | 1 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 19 | 26 | +36.8% |
| Gibraltar wins | 67 | 71 | +6.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Croatia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 98.0% and is now 100.0% (2.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Croatia vs. Gibraltar game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Croatia and Gibraltar when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
