Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Brazilian giants Corinthians will hope to keep up their strong start to the Copa Libertadores when they host Uruguayan side Penarol. Going into matchday three, Corinthians lead Group E with six points, while Penarol have one, as they chase a first win of the campaign. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Corinthians are flying high in the Libertadores after winning both their opening matches. A couple of 2-0 victories against Platense and Santa Fe in continental action add to their current six-match unbeaten run.
They’ve won four times in that period and come here having also recorded back-to-back home victories while keeping clean sheets in each of the last three.
This match marks the first meeting between the two sides in five years. In their 2021 encounters, Peñarol beat Corinthians home and away. In the two matches, Peñarol also kept clean sheets while scoring six times.
The corresponding fixture, away in Brazil, ended 2-0. While Peñarol will hope for a repeat, their current form doesn’t tally with the ambition.
The Uruguayans have managed just one win in their last seven outings and lost four times in the process. Ahead of this game they fell 1-0 away to Wanderers, failing to score for the second time in four defeats.
This will be particularly tough because Corinthians have kept six straight clean sheets.
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Corinthians v CA Penarol Montevideo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.61 | 3.45 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.51 | 3.63 | 8.58 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.48 | 6.7 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 3.5 | 7.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Corinthians and CA Penarol Montevideo?
Our prediction for the Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo match is: Corinthians wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/04/2026 between Corinthians and CA Penarol Montevideo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.78% for a win of Corinthians against CA Penarol Montevideo with odds of 1.65 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo is 23.52% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.7% chance ⭐ for a win of CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians with odds of 8.58 at Melbet.
Corinthians - CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Corinthians CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 42.7% | 8.58 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 88.63% | 1.84 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 83.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: CA Penarol Montevideo | 18.21% | 13 at Bet365 |
Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo Form
Corinthians and CA Penarol Montevideo's standings in the Copa Libertadores
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
Corinthians and CA Penarol Montevideo Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
20 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
13 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
9 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
13 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
29 Mar 2026 - Primera Division
21 Mar 2026 - Primera Division
7 Mar 2026 - Primera Division
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
9 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
4 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
25 Mar 2026 - Primera Division
14 Mar 2026 - Primera Division
Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
29 Apr 2021 - Copa Sudamericana
Corinthians against CA Penarol Montevideo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Kaue
DefenderP. Milans
F. Angileri
Ramalho
MidfielderAllan
M. Pereira
Z. Labyad
P. Raul
Kaio Cesar
Dieguinho
Vitinho
A. Carrillo
S. Britos
DefenderB. Barboza
L. Hernandez
K. Rodriguez
S. Muhlethaler
F. Gonzalez
G. Barbas
ForwardF. Batista
L. Angulo
B. Alvarez
A. Hernandez
Most goals and assists
Corinthians
CA Penarol Montevideo
G. Henrique
(3 Goals)
M. Arezo
(2 Goals)
R. Garro
(4 Assists)
L. Angulo
(1 Assists)
,
D. Laxalt
(1 Assists)
,
J. Trindade
(1 Assists)
Corinthians - CA Penarol Montevideo Key Points
- Corinthians have two wins in two in the Copa Libertadores.
- Corinthians are unbeaten in their last six matches, winning four.
- Penarol are still winless in Group E of their Libertadores campaign.
- Penarol haven’t won any of their last five matches, three ending in defeat.
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Our Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo Prediction
Corinthians will never find a better opportunity to avenge their earlier defeats to Penarol. The Brazilians are playing at home and against a side that is struggling, still seeking a first win in the competition.
Peñarol are also winless in their last five outings in all competitions and lost three times in that run. Meanwhile, Corinthians are going for a third win in three Libertadores matches and come here unbeaten in six games. Our prediction for Corinthians v Penarol is that Corinthians wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Corinthians CA Penarol Montevideo
| Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians wins | 1.65 | 1.65 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.8 | +5.6% |
| CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 6 | 8.58 | +43.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- CA Penarol Montevideo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 43.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 16.7% and is now 11.7% (-5.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
