Connacht Rugby vs US Montalbanaise Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup
Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Connacht Rugby host struggling Montauban in Challenge Cup final pool-stage match on Saturday. The Westerners will look to overcome the French side and book their place in the round of 16. Here is our prediction for the match.
Connacht Rugby squandered a 10-point first-half lead to lose 33–31 to Montpellier in their last Challenge Cup match. That result marked their second defeat in three matches in the competition, leaving them fourth in the Pool 1 standings with eight points.
A victory in Saturday's clash is non-negotiable if they are to qualify for the next round of the competition. The Irish club have won five of their last six European home matches and are clear favorites to ace this tie.
Montauban's poor domestic form this season has continued in the Challenge Cup. They are the whipping boys in Pool 1, rooted bottom of the standings with just two points following defeats in all three of their matches.
Sébastien Calvet's men are also riding a prolonged nine-match losing streak across all competitions, mostly by blowout margins. They have also suffered wide-margin defeats in all eight of their away matches this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Connacht Rugby v US Montalbanaise Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 51 | 21 |
|
|
1.01 | 17.7 | 29 |
|
|
1 | 45 | 29 |
|
|
1.01 | 35 | 16 |
|
|
1.01 | 43 | 27 |
|
Connacht Rugby vs US Montalbanaise Form
Connacht Rugby and US Montalbanaise Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 May 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
7 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
4 Oct 2025 - Top 14
Connacht Rugby - US Montalbanaise Key Points
- Connacht Rugby won their previous 2025–26 Challenge Cup home match by a blowout margin.
- Connacht Rugby have won five of their last six European home matches.
- Montauban have lost their three Challenge Cup Pool 1 matches.
- Montauban have lost their last nine matches in all competitions, mostly by heavy margins.
- Montauban have suffered wide-margin defeats in their eight away matches this season across all competitions.
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Our Connacht Rugby vs US Montalbanaise Prediction
Saturday's clash is not a question of Connacht Rugby's chances, but of the margin of victory expected. Montauban are clearly the underdogs heading into this match. The French club have not only struggled for results, but have grappled with wide-margin losses.
Meanwhile, Connacht Rugby won their previous Challenge Cup home fixture by a convincing margin. The Galway-based outfit also boast a solid 5–0–1 record in their last six European home matches. Hence, we are tipping them for another emphatic victory. Our Connacht Rugby vs Montauban prediction is Connacht Rugby -33.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
