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24 June 2024 - 18:00 

- Day 1

South America - Copa America

Colombia
VS
Paraguay

Prediction :

Colombia wins the match

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Colombia vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America

 by Devesh Jaganath in Copa America Predictions

Buckle up, Group D in the 2024 Copa America is set to get underway on Monday night!

Kicking off this group will be Colombia and Paraguay, who will lock horns at the NRG Stadium in Texas. 

These familiar foes faced off seven months ago in World Cup qualifying and it was the Colomians that edged out a 1-0 win. 

Will Paraguay be able to exact their revenge this time around? Let’s break down the stats.

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The Best Betting Odds for Colombia v Paraguay Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.01 23 501
Ladbrokes
1.95 2.37 5.5
NetBet
1.71 3.2 4.5
1xbet
1 51 501
22bet
1 51 501
Betwinner
1.65 3.7 5.65
Stake
1.04 10.75 100
Melbet
1.66 3.7 5.6
Tonybet
1.61 3.45 5.4
Check all Colombia vs Paraguay odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Colombia and Paraguay?

Our prediction for the Colombia vs Paraguay match is: Colombia wins!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/24/24 between Colombia and Paraguay in Copa America :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.53% for a win of Colombia against Paraguay with odds of 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Colombia vs Paraguay is 30.5% with odds of 51 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 10.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Paraguay vs Colombia with odds of 501 at Bet365.

Colombia - Paraguay Prediction and Best Odds:

Colombia Paraguay Prediction Probability Odds
Colombia wins 58.53% 1.95 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 72.73% 2.1 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 19.17% 2.3 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : Colombia/Colombia 25.83% 2.8 at Stake

Colombia vs Paraguay Form

Colombia and Paraguay's standings in the Copa America

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Colombia
Colombia
7 3 2 1 0 4
4
Paraguay
Paraguay
0 3 0 0 3 -5

Colombia and Paraguay Last Matches

Colombia
Colombia Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Colombia
3 :  0
Bolivia

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  5
Colombia

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  3
Colombia

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Spain
0 :  1
Colombia

16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia

10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  0
Venezuela
Paraguay
Paraguay Last matches
W D L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1
BTTS
0%
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Panama
0 :  1
Paraguay

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Chile
3 :  0
Paraguay

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
0 :  0
Paraguay

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  1
Colombia

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Paraguay

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  0
Bolivia

Colombia against Paraguay : Head to Head (H2H)

Colombia

60 %

Draw

40 %

Paraguay

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.2
BTTS
20%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.2
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5
100%

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  1
Colombia

19 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Colombia
2 :  0
Paraguay

16 Nov 2021 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  0
Paraguay

5 Sep 2021 - World Cup

Paraguay
1 :  1
Colombia

23 Jun 2019 - Copa America

Colombia
1 :  0
Paraguay
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Colombia - Paraguay: Form Analysis

Colombia have been in scintillating form of late and will enter this group as the second favourite to qualify behind Brazil. 

Los Cafeteros' preparation for this competition could hardly have gone better as they rattled off six consecutive international friendly victories between December last year and this month. 

Prior to that, they made an excellent start to their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign and are the only team from the CONMEBOL region that are yet to suffer defeat. In six WC qualifiers, they have secured three wins and three draws, leaving them in third place as it stands. 

Among their more notable results was beating Brazil 2-1 back in November, while they also overcame Germany in June last year during a friendly. 

Colombia are unbeaten in a whopping 23 matches in all competitions (W18 D5 L0).

Paraguay, on the other hand, have experienced mixed results in the lead-up to Copa America 2024. 

They failed to win either of their first two warm-up games, drawing goalless against Peru before losing 3-0 to Chile. That followed a 0-0 draw to Chile and a 1-0 defeat to their opponents in this match, which meant they were winless in four matches since November. 

However, they did manage to snap up that run with a 1-0 win over Panama last week marking just their third victory in their last ten matches over the last 12 months. 

A major difficulty for Paraguay in recent times has been finding the back of the net. In their last ten games in all competitions, the Albirroja have scored just four goals, while drawing blank in seven games during that time. 

Paraguay have lost four and drawn one of the last five matches against Colombia. The last time they defeated Los Cafeteros was in October 2017. 

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Colombia against Paraguay Lineups: Starting 11

Colombia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

12
C. Vargas
21
D. Munoz
23
D. Sanchez
3
J. Lucumi
17
J. Mojica
6
R. Rios
16
J. Lerma
11
J. Arias
10
J. Rodriguez
7
L. Diaz
19
R. Borre
19
J. Enciso
18
A. Arce
10
M. Almiron
23
M. Villasanti
14
A. Cubas
26
H. Caballero
4
M. Espinoza
3
O. Alderete
5
F. Balbuena
25
G. Velazquez
22
R. Morinigo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Paraguay

Missing players

Colombia
Colombia
Defender

D. Munoz

Midfielder

J. Lerma

R. Rios

Paraguay
Paraguay
Midfielder

A. Cubas

Colombia & Paraguay Squad Analysis

Liverpool attacker Luiz Diaz scored his 12th goal for Colombia in their 3-0 victory over Bolivia last week and he will be making his 50th appearance for the national side in this match. 

World Cup 2014 Golden Boot winner James Rodriguez got his 100th international cap in the same game and will be a key figure in Los Cafeteros midfield throughout this tournament. 

Other notable names in the Colombian squad include Jefferson Lerma of Crystal Palace and Al-Nassr shot-stopper David Ospina, who is also the most capped player for his country. 

Gustavo Velazquez brought Paraguay’s goal drought to an end in the win over Panama last week and is almost certain to start this match in the back four alongside Dynamo Moscow’s Fabian Balbuena. 

Captaining the side is the experienced Gustavo Gomez while leading the line will be Brighton and Hove Albion attacker Julio Enciso and Monterrey’s Adam Bareiro. 

Colombia - Paraguay Key Points

  1. Colombia are on a six-match winning streak in all competitions
  2. Colombia are unbeaten in their last 23 matches
  3. Colombia are unbeaten in their last five matches against this opponent
  4. Paraguay have won only one of their last five games
  5. Paraguay have failed to score in seven of their last ten away matches
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Our Colombia vs Paraguay Prediction

Both these sides enter this contest with contrasting forms. 

The Colombians have been in excellent shape recently and have not tasted defeat in over two years. 

Paraguay, meanwhile, have won only one of their last five matches and it has been over six years since they last overcame this opponent. Therefore, our Colombia vs Paraguay prediction: Colombia wins!

Prediction :

Colombia wins the match

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Colombia vs Paraguay - Other Interesting Predictions

Under 2.5

Despite Colombia’s excellent goal-scoring stats of late, matches between these two sides have typically been low-scoring affairs. Each of the last five meetings have ended with fewer than three goals. 

Luis Diaz to score anytime

Luis Diaz has scored 12 goals for his country, with the most recent coming last week against Bolivia. The Liverpool man is also expected to be on penalty duty. 

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Colombia Paraguay

Colombia vs Paraguay Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Colombia wins 1.7 1.01 -40.6%
Draw 3.5 23 +557.1%
Paraguay wins 5.5 501 +9,009.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Colombia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 40.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 99.0% (40.2%)

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Colombia vs Paraguay match : Frequently asked questions

The 2024 Copa America match between Colombia and Paraguay will take place on June 24 at 23:00 GMT. 

The 2024 Copa America match between Colombia and Paraguay will be played at the NRG Stadium in Texas. 

Premier Sports holds the rights to the Copa America tournament in the UK. 

Alternatively, you can stay up to date with all the Copa America Livescores right here on SportyTrader!

In 21 previous matches between these sides, Colombia have won 11, Paraguay have won four and four matches ended level. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Colombia vs Paraguay Prediction
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