Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in FA Cup Predictions
The first round of the FA Cup will see Colchester United playing host to Milton Keynes Dons on Saturday afternoon. The U’s and the Dons are 14th and fourth in the League Two standings this season, respectively. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Colchester United will be hoping to reach the second round of the FA Cup for the first time since 2021-22. They have only got past round one of this competition once in the last nine seasons.
The U’s have been in good shape leading up to this match. After a goalless draw against Swindon last week, they are now unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions (W4 D1).
The hosts are also riding a three-match win streak at home and are unbeaten in five. They scored a combined tally of 11 goals at this venue in their last three matches.
Meanwhile, MK Dons also bowed out of this competition in the first round last season and have only reached round two twice in the last seven editions of the FA Cup.
The Dons suffered a 2-1 defeat to Bromley last weekend, which brought an end to their four-match win streak in League Two. They have scored two or more goals in four of their last six games in all competitions.
The visitors have a record of W3 D2 L2 in their last seven away games, but lost on both visits to Colchester Community Stadium (league and cup) last season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Colchester v Milton Keynes Dons Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.5 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Colchester and Milton Keynes Dons?
Our prediction for the Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons match is: Colchester to qualify.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Colchester and Milton Keynes Dons in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.88% for a win of Colchester against Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 2.65 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons is 22.22% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Milton Keynes Dons vs Colchester with odds of 2.98 at LSbet.
Colchester - Milton Keynes Dons Prediction and Best Odds:
| Colchester Milton Keynes Dons Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colchester wins | 45.88% | 2.65 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.77% | 1.98 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | 1.67 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Milton Keynes Dons / Full-time: Colchester | 22.41% | 23 at Bet365 |
Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons Form
Colchester and Milton Keynes Dons Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League Two
18 Oct 2025 - League Two
11 Oct 2025 - League Two
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League Two
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - League Two
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League Two
20 Sept 2025 - League Two
6 Sept 2025 - League Two
23 Aug 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League Two
11 Oct 2025 - League Two
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
13 Sept 2025 - League Two
2 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League Two
18 Oct 2025 - League Two
11 Oct 2025 - League Two
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League Two
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - League Two
4 Oct 2025 - League Two
20 Sept 2025 - League Two
16 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
6 Sept 2025 - League Two
30 Aug 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League Two
11 Oct 2025 - League Two
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
27 Sept 2025 - League Two
13 Sept 2025 - League Two
23 Aug 2025 - League Two
Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2025 - League Two
17 Sept 2024 - EFL Trophy
17 Aug 2024 - League Two
Most goals and assists
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
K. Lisbie
(8 Goals)
A. Gilbey
(8 Goals)
Colchester - Milton Keynes Dons Key Points
- Colchester are unbeaten in their last five games across all competitions.
- Colchester are on a three-match win streak at home.
- Colchester have scored 11 goals in their last three home games.
- Colchester beat this opponent twice at this venue last season.
- MK Dons have lost two of their last three away games.
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Our Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction
While MK Dons are 10 places above Colchester in the League Two standings, the U’s are the side in form coming into this match, unbeaten in five and riding a three-match win streak on their home patch.
The visitors will not make it easy, but they were beaten twice at this venue last season and have lost two of their last three matches on the road across all competitions. We feel the home side will get through to round two in this one. Our Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction is Colchester to qualify.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Colchester Milton Keynes Dons
| Colchester vs Milton Keynes Dons | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester wins | 2.65 | 2.25 | -15.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Milton Keynes Dons wins | 2.45 | 2.82 | +15.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Colchester is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.7% and is now 44.4% (6.7%)
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Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
