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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
Chile will play host to Uruguay in their final match of the CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup Qualifiers on Tuesday night. La Roja are bottom of the standings, while La Celeste are in third place after 17 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Chile have arguably been the biggest disappointment in this WCQ cycle, and with just 10 points in 17 games, they will not be able to qualify for the 2026 World Cup even if they win this match.
La Roja suffered a 3-0 defeat to Brazil last week and are now winless in their last five matches in this competition (D1 L4) - they also failed to score in any of those five games.
The hosts have earned nine of their 10 points in this competition at home (W2 D3 L3) but have not beaten this opponent in their last six encounters (home or away).
Meanwhile, Uruguay have taken 27 points from their 17 matches in this competition and are guaranteed to feature in their fifth straight World Cup next year.
La Celeste eased to a 3-0 victory over Peru last Friday, with Rodrigo Aguirre picking up a goal and an assist. He now has three goal involvements in his last two games in this competition.
However, the visitors have found wins hard to come by on the road, with only one victory earned in their eight outings in this competition (W1 D4 L3).
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The Best Betting Odds for Chile v Uruguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.1 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.35 | 2.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chile and Uruguay?
Our prediction for the Chile vs Uruguay match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Chile and Uruguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.5% for a win of Chile against Uruguay with odds of 3.31 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chile vs Uruguay is 32.83% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs Chile with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
Chile vs Uruguay Form
Chile and Uruguay's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
27 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
|
10
|
10 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -18 |
Chile and Uruguay Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
8 Feb 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
8 Feb 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
Chile vs Uruguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
20 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
21 Jun 2021 - Copa America
8 Oct 2020 - World Cup
24 Jun 2019 - Copa America
Most goals and assists
Chile
Uruguay
E. Vargas
(3 Goals)
D. Nunez
(5 Goals)
Chile - Uruguay Key Points
- Four of Chile’s last five matches in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Chile have failed to score in seven of their last eight games in this competition.
- Five of Uruguay’s last six matches in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Uruguay have failed to score in four of their last five away games in this competition.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in two of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Chile vs Uruguay Prediction
Chile have endured a disappointing campaign, winning just two of their 17 matches so far, which sees them now set to miss out on qualifying for the World Cup for a third time in a row.
Uruguay, on the other hand, will be participating in their fifth consecutive World Cup next year and are the favourites in this match. However, they have not been great on the road in this competition and may consider rotating players, given that their fate is already sealed. Our Chile vs Uruguay prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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