Chile vs Brazil Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
The final match on Thursday’s CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying slate sees ninth-place Chile hosting fifth-placed Brazil at the Estadio Nacional in Ñuñoa. It’s been an extremely disappointing first half of the campaign for both sides. With a vital three points on the line, let’s get into the prediction for this clash between La Roja and the Seleção Canarinho.
With just five points from the first eight matches, Chile are at serious risk of missing out on a third consecutive World Cup. One win and two draws has them sitting five points off one of the six automatic qualification spots and four points off Paraguay for seventh-place and a spot in the intercontinental playoff.
Last time out, Chile slumped to a 2-1 home defeat to Bolivia in a match they were heavily favored to win. Chile have now taken just a single point from their last five World Cup qualifying games. The loss also extended Chile’s winless run across all competitions to five matches following their group stage exit in the Copa America back in June.
Brazil have their own struggles as they have totaled just 10 points after three wins, one draw and four defeats. They lead sixth-place Venezuela on goal differential and sit just one point above Paraguay in seventh.
Brazil returned from a disappointing Copa America with a 1-0 home qualifying win over Ecuador. They were unable to keep up that momentum as they fell to a 1-0 away defeat to Paraguay last month. It marked the third defeat that the Seleção have suffered in their three away trips in this competition.
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Chile v Brazil Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.4 | 3.65 | 1.59 |
|
|
6.8 | 3.77 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.6 | 4 | 1.54 |
|
|
6.75 | 3.82 | 1.55 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.7 | 1.57 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chile and Brazil?
Our prediction for the Chile vs Brazil match is: Brazil to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Chile and Brazil in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.97% for a win of Chile against Brazil with odds of 6.8 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chile vs Brazil is 36.39% with odds of 4 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Brazil vs Chile with odds of 1.65 at Betsson.
Chile - Brazil Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chile Brazil Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 45.64% | 1.65 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 59.06% | 2.02 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | 1.55 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brazil | 25.01% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Chile vs Brazil Form
Chile and Brazil's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
28 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +7 |
|
10
|
11 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -18 |
Chile and Brazil Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
5 Sept 2024 - World Cup
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2024 - World Cup
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
6 Sept 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
8 Sept 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Chile vs Brazil Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
2 Sept 2021 - World Cup
2 Jul 2021 - Copa America
10 Oct 2017 - World Cup
Players list
B. Cortes
DefenderF. Loyola
T. Galdames
G. Maripan
B. Kuscevic
MidfielderD. Valdes
R. Echeverria
E. Pavez
ForwardD. Osorio
V. Davila
E. Vargas
Ederson
DefenderAbner
Marquinhos
Danilo
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderSavinho
Andre
L. Paqueta
ForwardIgor Jesus
Rodrygo
Raphinha
Substitutes
V. Reyes
L. Vigouroux
DefenderF. Hormazabal
M. Morales
M. Zaldivia
MidfielderW. Alarcon
U. Ortegoza
L. Cabral
ForwardC. Palacios
G. Tapia
L. Cepeda
M. Guerrero
Bento
Weverton
DefenderBeraldo
Vanderson
A. Telles
F. Bruno
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
A. Pereira
Gerson
G. Martinelli
Luiz Henrique
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Chile
Brazil
E. Vargas
(3 Goals)
Raphinha
(4 Goals)
Chile - Brazil Key Points
- Chile have lost four of their last five World Cup qualifying matches.
- The hosts have failed to win in their last five appearances across all competitions.
- Chile have scored just a single goal in their last five games.
- Brazil have conceded just three goals in their last six outings across all competitions.
- Brazil have won their last four straight against Chile, scoring nine and conceding zero.
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Our Chile vs Brazil Prediction
It would still take a lot for the Brazilians to miss out on the World Cup for the first time in history. However, they’ll want to return to winning ways as soon as possible to avoid what would be unbelievable pressure should things be tight in the final few matchdays.
With Chile on an awful run during World Cup qualification, the stage looks set for Dorival Junior’s men to pick up a huge three points. They haven’t been playing up to their usual standard, but Brazil should have enough on Thursday against a struggling opponent. Our Chile vs Brazil prediction: Brazil to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chile Brazil
| Chile vs Brazil | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chile wins | 6.02 | 6.8 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 4.16 | 4 | -3.8% |
| Brazil wins | 1.64 | 1.65 | +0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brazil is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 60.6% (-0.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
