Europe - Conference League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Conference League Predictions
Celje have made their way from the play-off round to the quarter-finals of the UEFA Conference League. The Yellow and Blues are home to Fiorentina in the first leg. Here's our match prediction.
The Slovenian club has never made it this far in any European club competition. They are fourth in their domestic league.
The Counts have not lost at home in European competition this season. Over 90 minutes they have lost five games. They finished 21st in the league phase and in the knockout stages have defeated APOEL and Lugano, needing penalties to win the latter.
Fiorentina only had two clubs above them in the league phase. The Violets won four of their six matches with the only loss being away at APOEL. The last 16 saw them beat Panathinaikos but they lost the away leg.
They are far more experienced in Europe than their opponents and have twice lost in the final of this competition. The Lillies are eighth in Serie A and struggling to qualify for European football next season.
They are unbeaten in their last four games but three were at home. On the road, Fiorentina have just one win in their last ten and none in their last three Conference League matches
We go for both teams to score.
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The Best Betting Odds for Celje v Fiorentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 4 | 1.7 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.67 |
|
|
5 | 3.9 | 1.57 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.85 | 1.62 |
|
|
4.99 | 3.93 | 1.69 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Celje and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Celje vs Fiorentina match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/04/2025 between Celje and Fiorentina in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.3% for a win of Celje against Fiorentina with odds of 7 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Celje vs Fiorentina is 21.43% with odds of 4.75 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Celje with odds of 1.72 at Betsson.
Celje - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Celje Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celje wins | 53.3% | 7 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.44% | 1.96 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 76.19% | 1.91 at Vbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Celje/Celje | 21.57% | 13 at Betfair |
Celje vs Fiorentina Form
Celje and Fiorentina Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Prva Liga
2 Apr 2025 - Slovenia Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Prva Liga
16 Mar 2025 - Prva Liga
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Prva Liga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Prva Liga
9 Mar 2025 - Prva Liga
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
26 Feb 2025 - Slovenia Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Prva Liga
13 Feb 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Prva Liga
2 Apr 2025 - Slovenia Cup
29 Mar 2025 - Prva Liga
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
2 Mar 2025 - Prva Liga
20 Feb 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
Celje against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Celje
Fiorentina
A. Kucys
(16 Goals)
M. Kean
(20 Goals)
S. Seslar
(8 Assists)
R. Gosens
(7 Assists)
Celje - Fiorentina Key Points
- Four of the last six Celje matches have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in five of their last six home Conference League matches.
- Four of the last six Fiorentina matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Only one of the last seven Fiorentina Conference League games have not seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last five Fiorentina away games in this competition.
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Our Celje vs Fiorentina Prediction
Fiorentina are the strong favorites to reach another Conference League semi-final. They have twice reached the final of this competition which is far more than their Slovenian opponents have achieved in Europe.
Celje have played in all three European competitions this season and are yet to lose a home fixture. Their away form is poor so they know a lead is vital from this first leg. Fiorentina are not that impressive on the road.
Therefore, our Celje v Fiorentina prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Celje Fiorentina
| Celje vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje wins | 7 | 4.5 | -35.7% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4 | -15.8% |
| Fiorentina wins | 1.4 | 1.7 | +21.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Celje is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 35.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 14.3% and is now 22.2% (7.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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