Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Liga Portugal Predictions
The opening curtain of Matchday 10 in Liga Portugal comes from Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, where Casa Pia will be hosting Sporting Lisbon on Friday night. Leões are averaging 2.3 goals per game this season, and our prediction is that they will score at least twice in this matchup.
After failing to win any of their first seven games this season, Casa Pia have got themselves out of the bottom two in the league standings with two wins in their last three matches (L1).
Os Gansos beat Estrela 2-0 last weekend, but they are still the lowest-scoring team in the division this term with just five goals, while having conceded 17 across their nine matches.
Notably, all seven of Casa Pia’s points this season have come in away games. They have conceded 13 goals in their four home league matches and failed to score in three of those games.
Meanwhile, Sporting Lisbon saw the deficit to league leaders Porto widen to nine points last week when they suffered a shocking 2-1 loss to newly promoted Academico Viseu at home.
However, Leões are still the second-highest scoring team in the league this season with 21 goals. Luis Suárez has been their chief contributor with eight goals and one assist in his nine league appearances.
The visitors are unbeaten in away league games this term (W2 D2) and have won each of their last five at this venue in all competitions since December 2021.
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Casa Pia Lisbon v Sporting Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9.80 | 5.80 | 1.26 |
|
|
10.10 | 5.95 | 1.31 |
|
|
9.80 | 5.80 | 1.28 |
|
|
9.80 | 5.80 | 1.28 |
|
|
9.80 | 5.80 | 1.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting Lisbon between 2 and 4 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/10/2026 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.87% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 10.5 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon is 18.2% with odds of 5.95 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.31 at 1xbet.
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +10 |
|
16
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 |
Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal
10 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2026 - Taca de Portugal
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2026 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2026 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
I. Mandic
DefenderJ. Goulart
K. Rocha
F. Silva
MidfielderS. Clua
JP
M. Ferreira Pereira
ForwardK. Prieto
E. Maurin
H. Araujo
J. Livolant
A. Jatta
D. Callai
K. Pereira
DefenderL. Taibo Dominguez
R. Dias
MidfielderP. Cardoso
M. Tanlongo
S. Justo
R. Rodrigues
S. Blopa
ForwardM. Couto
R. Nel
Missing players
A. Gomes
Z. Debast
MidfielderR. Zalazar
ForwardN. Santos
Most goals and assists
Casa Pia Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
H. Araujo
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Clua
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Pauwels
(1 Goals)
, 
L. Ofori
(1 Goals)
,
J. Rego
(1 Goals)
L. Suarez
(8 Goals)
S. Perez
(1 Assists)
,
L. Ofori
(1 Assists)
,
M. Salah El Boukammiri
(1 Assists)
G. Catamo
(4 Assists)
Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Casa Pia have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight home league matches.
- Casa Pia are averaging 3.25 goals conceded per home game this season.
- Sporting Lisbon are averaging 2.3 goals per game this season.
- Sporting Lisbon have scored between 2 and 4 goals in each of their last five matches at this venue.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
After a disastrous start to the season, Casa Pia have shown improvement in recent weeks, but it’s tough to make much of a case for them here, given that they have never beaten this opponent in the top flight.
Sporting will be determined to bounce back from their shock defeat to Académico Viseu last week. They have a perfect record at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior in Liga Portugal, and we fancy them to net a few goals in this one. Our Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is Sporting Lisbon between 2 and 4 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
