Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
The first match of the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season will come from Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, where Casa Pia will be playing host to Sporting Lisbon on Friday. Os Gansos ended last season in ninth place while Os Leoes retained their league title. See our match prediction below.
Casa Pia will be featuring in the Portuguese top flight for the fourth season in a row after earning promotion in 2021-22.
Os Gansos ended last season on 45 points, seven points more than the previous campaign and their highest tally since returning to the top flight. They lost their final game of the season 2-1 to Famalicao but went unbeaten in four pre-season matches (W2 D2).
The hosts had a mixed home record last season (W8 D4 L5). Notably, they only failed to score in one of their last 15 league games at this venue.
Meanwhile, despite the departure of Ruben Amorim, Sporting Lisbon managed to retain their league title and did so in spectacular fashion, with a dramatic final-day victory over Vitoria.
That win saw them finish just two points ahead of Benfica in the final standings. It was also Os Leoes' 21st consecutive league matches without defeat (W14 D7 L0).
The visitors had the best away record in the division last season, earning 38 points from 17 games (W11 D5 L1). They have also won each of their last six matches against this opponent.
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The Best Betting Odds for Casa Pia Lisbon v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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9 | 5 | 1.33 |
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9.5 | 5 | 1.29 |
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7.5 | 4.6 | 1.29 |
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8.5 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
|
|
9.5 | 5.3 | 1.29 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting Lisbon wins & over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/08/2025 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.59% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 10 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon is 11.81% with odds of 5.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 69.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.37 at Betwinner.
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
9 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
22 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
K. Silva
ForwardC. Mendes
D. Braganca
ForwardN. Santos
Casa Pia Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Casa Pia only won two of their final 11 league matches last season.
- Six of Casa Pia’s last 10 league games ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Casa Pia have lost each of their last six league matches against this opponent.
- Sporting Lisbon were unbeaten in their final 21 league games last season.
- Sporting Lisbon have scored two or more goals in each of their last seven matches against this opponent across all competitions.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
While Casa Pia avoided defeat in pre-season, their domestic league performance was underwhelming leading up to the end of last season, and their record against this opponent does not inspire much confidence in them for this weekend’s fixture.
Sporting Lisbon would have been bitterly disappointed to have lost the Super Cup last week and will be determined to start the league season on a winning note. They’ve lost key players over the summer, but we feel they still have enough firepower to get the win in this one. Our Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is Sporting Lisbon wins & over 1.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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